We have located links that may give you full text access.
Development and Validation of Prediction Models for Exacerbation, Frequent Exacerbations and Severe Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Registry Study in North China.
COPD 2023 December
In COPD patients, exacerbation has a detrimental influence on the quality of life, disease progression and socioeconomic burden. This study aimed to develop and validate models to predict exacerbation, frequent exacerbations and severe exacerbations in COPD patients. We conducted an observational prospective multicenter study. Clinical data of all outpatients with stable COPD were collected from Beijing Chaoyang Hospital and Beijing Renhe Hospital between January 2018 and December 2019. Patients were followed up for 1 year. The data from Chaoyang Hospital was used for modeling dataset, and that of Renhe Hospital was used for external validation dataset. The final dataset included 456 patients, with 326 patients as the model group and 130 patients as the validation group. Using LABA + ICS, frequent exacerbations in the past year and CAT score were independent risk factors for exacerbation in the next year (OR = 2.307, 2.722 and 1.147), and FVC %pred as a protective factor (OR = 0.975). Combined with chronic heart failure, frequent exacerbations in the past year, blood EOS counts and CAT score were independent risk factors for frequent exacerbations in the next year (OR = 4.818, 2.602, 1.015 and 1.342). Using LABA + ICS, combined with chronic heart failure, frequent exacerbations in the past year and CAT score were independent risk factors for severe exacerbations in the next year (OR = 1.950, 3.135, 2.980 and 1.133). Based on these prognostic models, nomograms were generated. The prediction models were simple and useful tools for predicting the risk of exacerbation, frequent exacerbations and severe exacerbations of COPD patients in North China.
Full text links
Related Resources
Trending Papers
The 'Ten Commandments' for the 2023 European Society of Cardiology guidelines for the management of endocarditis.European Heart Journal 2024 April 18
Challenges in Septic Shock: From New Hemodynamics to Blood Purification Therapies.Journal of Personalized Medicine 2024 Februrary 4
A Guide to the Use of Vasopressors and Inotropes for Patients in Shock.Journal of Intensive Care Medicine 2024 April 14
Prevention and treatment of ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke in people with diabetes mellitus: a focus on glucose control and comorbidities.Diabetologia 2024 April 17
Diagnosis and Management of Cardiac Sarcoidosis: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association.Circulation 2024 April 19
Eosinophilic Esophagitis: Clinical Pearls for Primary Care Providers and Gastroenterologists.Mayo Clinic Proceedings 2024 April
Essential thrombocythaemia: A contemporary approach with new drugs on the horizon.British Journal of Haematology 2024 April 9
Get seemless 1-tap access through your institution/university
For the best experience, use the Read mobile app
All material on this website is protected by copyright, Copyright © 1994-2024 by WebMD LLC.
This website also contains material copyrighted by 3rd parties.
By using this service, you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy.
Your Privacy Choices
You can now claim free CME credits for this literature searchClaim now
Get seemless 1-tap access through your institution/university
For the best experience, use the Read mobile app