Leptin levels predict the development of insulin resistance in a sample of adult men-The Olivetti Heart Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Leptin (LPT) is associated with unfavourable cardio-metabolic risk profile. Although a number of studies have found a positive association between LPT and insulin resistance (IR), no observational study has evaluated a prospective association to detect a predictive role of LPT in IR. Therefore, the aim of this study was to estimate the role of LPT on the incidence of IR in an 8-year follow-up of a sample of adult men (The Olivetti Heart Study).

METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 527 not diabetic men without IR (homeostasis model assessment - HOMA index < 2.77 UI) at baseline. Baseline LPT was significantly and positively associated with HOMA index, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference and blood pressure. At the end of the 8-year follow-up period, a positive and significant association was detected between baseline LPT and changes in HOMA index (r = 0.25, p < 0.01) and incidence of IR (OR: 2.6, 95%CI: 1.9-3.4). This trend was also confirmed after adjustment for potential confounders. In addition, the predictive value of LPT was found in subjects who had not experienced any weight increase over the years, and for normal weight and excess body weight participants, separately.

CONCLUSIONS: The results of this prospective study suggest a predictive role of circulating LPT levels on a reduction of insulin sensitivity over time, independently of main potential confounders, in non-diabetic men without IR at baseline. In addition, in normal weight individuals, LPT levels were associated with development of IR.