Biomarkers and sepsis severity as predictors of mechanical ventilation and mortality in COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with septic shock face an elevated risk of mortality compared to those with sepsis. Several biomarkers, including lactate dehydrogenase, albumin, and lactate/albumin (L/A), have been associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 patients. This study aims to assess the relationship between sepsis, septic shock, and mortality, as well as the need for mechanical ventilation in COVID-19 patients. Demographic, sepsis severity factors, and biomarkers are examined.

METHODS: A retrospective case series from June 2020 to March 2021 included 490 patients diagnosed with sepsis or septic shock secondary to SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Time-to-event analyses were conducted for mechanical ventilation and mortality. Statistical significance was set at p ≤ .0038. Serum lactate, albumin, lactate/albumin ratio, C-reactive protein, platelet levels, and three sepsis severity scales, (CCI, SOFA, APACHE IV) were assessed.

RESULTS: Sepsis was identified in 352 patients (71.8%), while 138 had septic shock. Patients with septic shock were more likely to require invasive ventilator support. Factors associated with a higher risk of intubation included higher APACHE IV scores, elevated serum albumin levels, and increased L/A ratio. L/A ratio and serum lactate levels demonstrated the best diagnostic accuracy for mechanical ventilation (AUC, 0.964 and 0.946, respectively), mortality (AUC, 0.926 and 0.887, respectively).

DISCUSSION: Increased C-reactive protein, combined with increased serum lactate and a high lactate/albumin ratio, may assist clinicians in identifying COVID-19 patients at risk of mechanical ventilation and mortality upon admission. Optimal cut-off values for lactate (1.45-1.65 mmol/L) and L/A ratio (0.413) can aid in prioritizing medical care for at risk COVID-19 patients.