Heart Rate Variability, Deceleration Capacity of Heart Rate, and Death: A Veteran Twins Study.

BACKGROUND: Autonomic function can be measured noninvasively using heart rate variability (HRV), which indexes overall sympathovagal balance. Deceleration capacity (DC) of heart rate is a more specific metric of vagal modulation. Higher values of these measures have been associated with reduced mortality risk primarily in patients with cardiovascular disease, but their significance in community samples is less clear.

METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective twin study followed 501 members from the VET (Vietnam Era Twin) registry. At baseline, frequency domain HRV and DC were measured from 24-hour Holter ECGs. During an average 12-year follow-up, all-cause death was assessed via the National Death Index. Multivariable Cox frailty models with random effect for twin pair were used to examine the hazard ratios of death per 1-SD increase in log-transformed autonomic metrics. Both in the overall sample and comparing twins within pairs, higher values of low-frequency HRV and DC were significantly associated with lower hazards of all-cause death. In within-pair analysis, after adjusting for baseline factors, there was a 22% and 27% lower hazard of death per 1-SD increment in low-frequency HRV and DC, respectively. Higher low-frequency HRV and DC, measured during both daytime and nighttime, were associated with decreased hazard of death, but daytime measures showed numerically stronger associations. Results did not substantially vary by zygosity.

CONCLUSIONS: Autonomic inflexibility, and especially vagal withdrawal, are important mechanistic pathways of general mortality risk, independent of familial and genetic factors.