Prognostic Implications of Small Cell Lung Cancer Transcriptional Subtyping for CNS Metastases.

PURPOSE: Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) often metastasizes to the brain and has poor prognosis. SCLC subtypes distinguished by expressing transcriptional factors ASCL1 or NEUROD1 have been identified. This study investigates the impact of transcription factor-defined SCLC subtype on incidence and outcomes of brain metastases (BMs).

METHODS: Patients with SCLC with ASCL1 (A) and NEUROD1 (N) immunohistochemical expression status were identified and classified: (1) A+/N-, (2) A+/N+, (3) A-/N+, and (4) A-/N-. Cumulative incidence competing risk analyses were used to assess incidence of CNS progression. Cox proportional hazards models were used for multivariable analyses of overall survival (OS) and CNS progression-free survival (CNS-PFS).

RESULTS: Of 164 patients, most were either A+/N- or A+/N+ (n = 62, n = 63, respectively). BMs were present at diagnosis in 24 patients (15%). Among them, the 12-month cumulative incidence of subsequent CNS progression was numerically highest for A+/N- (50% [95% CI, 10.5 to 74.7]; P = .47). Among those BM-free at diagnosis, the 12-month cumulative incidence of CNS progression was numerically the highest for A+/N- (16% [95% CI, 7.5 to 27.9]) and A-/N+ (9.1% [95% CI, 0.0 to 34.8]; P = .20). Both subtypes, A+/N- and A-/N+, had worse OS compared with A+/N+ (A+/N-: hazard ratio [HR], 1.62 [95% CI, 1.01 to 2.51]; P < .05; A-/N+: HR, 3.02 [95% CI, 1.35 to 6.76]; P = .007). Excellent response rates (28, 65% CR/PR) across subtypes were seen in patients who had CNS-directed radiotherapy versus systemic therapy alone (9, 36% CR/PR).

CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this report is the first to investigate CNS-specific outcomes based on transcription factor subtypes in patients with SCLC. BM-free patients at diagnosis with A+/N- or A-/N+ subtypes had worse outcomes compared with those with transcriptional factor coexpression. Further investigation into the mechanisms and implications of SCLC subtyping on CNS-specific outcomes is warranted to ultimately guide personalized care.