Proinsulin:C-peptide ratio trajectories over time in relatives at increased risk of progression to type 1 diabetes.

Objective: Biomarkers are needed to characterize heterogeneity within populations at risk for type 1 diabetes. The ratio of proinsulin to C-peptide (PI:C ratio), has been proposed as a biomarker of beta cell dysfunction and is associated with progression to type 1 diabetes. However, relationships between PI:C ratios and autoantibody type and number have not been examined. We sought to characterize PI:C ratios in multiple islet autoantibody positive, single autoantibody positive and autoantibody negative relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Methods: We measured PI:C ratios and autoantibodies with both electrochemiluminescence (ECL) assays (ECL-IAA, ECL-GADA and ECL-IA2A) and radiobinding (RBA) assays (mIAA, GADA, IA2A and ZnT8A) in 98 relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes followed in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study at the Barbara Davis Center for a mean of 7.4 ​± ​4.1 years. Of these subjects, eight progressed to T1D, 31 were multiple autoantibody (Ab) positive, 37 were single Ab positive and 22 were Ab negative (by RBA).

Results: In cross-sectional analyses, there were no significant differences in PI:C ratios between type 1 diabetes and/or multiple Ab positive subjects (4.16 ​± ​4.06) compared to single Ab positive subjects (4.08 ​± ​4.34) and negative Ab subjects (3.72 ​± ​3.78) (p ​= ​0.92) overall or after adjusting for age, sex and BMI. Higher PI:C ratios were associated with mIAA titers (p ​= ​0.03) and showed an association with ECL-IA2A titers (p ​= ​0.09), but not with ECL-IAA, GADA, ECL-GADA, IA2A nor ZnT8A titers. In mixed-effects longitudinal models, the trajectories of PI:C ratio over time were significantly different between the Ab negative and multiple Ab positive/type 1 diabetes groups, after adjusting for sex, age, and BMI (p ​= ​0.04).

Conclusions: PI:C ratio trajectories increase over time in subjects who have multiple Ab or develop type 1 diabetes and may be a helpful biomarker to further characterize and stratify risk of progression to type 1 diabetes over time.