Prognostic value of combining clinical factors, 18 F-FDG PET-based intensity, volumetric features, and deep learning predictor in patients with EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma undergoing targeted therapies: a cross-scanner and temporal validation study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic value of 18 F-FDG PET-based intensity, volumetric features, and deep learning (DL) across different generations of PET scanners in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated lung adenocarcinoma receiving tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment.

METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the pre-treatment 18 F-FDG PET of 217 patients with advanced-stage lung adenocarcinoma and actionable EGFR mutations who received TKI as first-line treatment. Patients were separated into analog (n = 166) and digital (n = 51) PET cohorts. 18 F-FDG PET-derived intensity, volumetric features, ResNet-50 DL of the primary tumor, and clinical variables were used to predict progression-free survival (PFS). Independent prognosticators were used to develop prediction model. Model was developed and validated in the analog and digital PET cohorts, respectively.

RESULTS: In the analog PET cohort, female sex, stage IVB status, exon 19 deletion, SUVmax , metabolic tumor volume, and positive DL prediction independently predicted PFS. The model devised from these six prognosticators significantly predicted PFS in the analog (HR = 1.319, p < 0.001) and digital PET cohorts (HR = 1.284, p = 0.001). Our model provided incremental prognostic value to staging status (c-indices = 0.738 vs. 0.558 and 0.662 vs. 0.598 in the analog and digital PET cohorts, respectively). Our model also demonstrated a significant prognostic value for overall survival (HR = 1.198, p < 0.001, c-index = 0.708 and HR = 1.256, p = 0.021, c-index = 0.664 in the analog and digital PET cohorts, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS: Combining 18 F-FDG PET-based intensity, volumetric features, and DL with clinical variables may improve the survival stratification in patients with advanced EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma receiving TKI treatment. Implementing the prediction model across different generations of PET scanners may be feasible and facilitate tailored therapeutic strategies for these patients.