Increase in acute pancreatitis, especially gallstone related, as the cause for emergency admissions: Temporal trend from Kashmir, India.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of acute pancreatitis is increasing globally. Gallstones (GS) and ascariasis are the major causes for acute pancreatitis in the Kashmiri population. In recent years, we have observed an increase in the admission rate of acute pancreatitis. Many patients who present first time as gallstone pancreatitis have asymptomatic gallstones. We aimed at studying the etiology and yearly admission rate of acute pancreatitis with main focus on gallstone pancreatitis and the contribution of asymptomatic gallstones.

METHODS: This was a hospital-based, prospective, observational study from January 2015 to December 2019 for a period of five years. Patients of acute pancreatitis were evaluated for etiology and yearly admission rate. Patients of gallstone pancreatitis were evaluated in terms of clinical profile, risk factors, nature (symptomatic/asymptomatic, known/unknown gallstones), size of stones, treatment and outcome in terms of severity and mortality. The data was analyzed by Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 20.0, as mean (SD), frequencies and percentages.

RESULTS: As many as 702 (8.5%) patients of acute pancreatitis were admitted among 8245 gastrointestinal emergencies in five years. The yearly admission rate of acute pancreatitis was 5.6%, 7.3%, 8.7%, 9.5% and 10.3%, respectively (p = 0.013). Gallstones, Ascariasis, alcohol and idiopathic acute pancreatitis were 47.7%, 6.9%, 1.2% and 33.7%, respectively. Gallstone pancreatitis increased from 31% in 2015 to 52.4% in 2019 (p = 0.045) and ascariasis-related acute pancreatitis declined from 14.4% to 1.6% (p = 0.034). Asymptomatic gallstones constituted 87.7% of cases. Known/unknown asymptomatic gallstones and symptomatic gallstones were 24.4%, 63.2% and 12.2%, respectively. Gallstones < 5 mm and > 5 mm were76.1% and 23.8% respectively (p = 0.027). Cholecystectomy rate in index admission was 4.7%. Mild, moderate and severe gallstone pancreatitis was 60.2%, 18.8% and 20.8%, respectively. Mortality in gallstone pancreatitis was 10.4%.

CONCLUSION: The incidence of acute pancreatitis is increasing due to gallstone pancreatitis. Ascariasis-related acute pancreatitis has declined. There is significant contribution of asymptomatic gallstones in patients who present for the first time as acute pancreatitis. Small gallstones < 5 mm are likely to be the risk factors for gallstone pancreatitis.