Leveraging radiomics and machine learning to differentiate radiation necrosis from recurrence in patients with brain metastases.

OBJECTIVE: Radiation necrosis (RN) can be difficult to radiographically discern from tumor progression after stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). The objective of this study was to investigate the utility of radiomics and machine learning (ML) to differentiate RN from recurrence in patients with brain metastases treated with SRS.

METHODS: Patients with brain metastases treated with SRS who developed either RN or tumor reccurence were retrospectively identified. Image preprocessing and radiomic feature extraction were performed using ANTsPy and PyRadiomics, yielding 105 features from MRI T1-weighted post-contrast (T1c), T2, and fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) images. Univariate analysis assessed significance of individual features. Multivariable analysis employed various classifiers on features identified as most discriminative through feature selection. ML models were evaluated through cross-validation, selecting the best model based on area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Specificity, sensitivity, and F1 score were computed.

RESULTS: Sixty-six lesions from 55 patients were identified. On univariate analysis, 27 features from the T1c sequence were statistically significant, while no features were significant from the T2 or FLAIR sequences. For clinical variables, only immunotherapy use after SRS was significant. Multivariable analysis of features from the T1c sequence yielded an AUC of 76.2% (standard deviation [SD] ± 12.7%), with specificity and sensitivity of 75.5% (± 13.4%) and 62.3% (± 19.6%) in differentiating radionecrosis from recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS: Radiomics with ML may assist the diagnostic ability of distinguishing RN from tumor recurrence after SRS. Further work is needed to validate this in a larger multi-institutional cohort and prospectively evaluate it's utility in patient care.