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Questionable Effects of Electronic Cigarette Use on Cardiovascular Diseases From the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS, 2014-2021).
Curēus 2024 March
BACKGROUND: Electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) and cardiovascular health risks have gained attention among tobacco researchers. While the cardiovascular risks from e-cigarettes are still unclear, a recent paper by Alzahrani in Cureus claimed that current usage of e-cigarettes increases the risks of cardiovascular diseases, such as myocardial infarction and stroke, in subjects who were never cigarette smokers.
METHODS: The National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) data from 2014 to 2021 and logistic regression models were used to replicate and extend Alzahrani's analysis.
RESULTS: Only 12 never smokers who were current e-cigarette users had a myocardial infarction in all eight years. The crude odds ratio (OR) for e-cigarette use was 0.42 (95%CI: 0.24, 0.75). After adjusting for age and other confounding factors and health conditions, the OR of e-cigarette use increased to 2.48 (95%CI: 1.35, 4.55). The omission of age while adjusting for all other risk factors resulted in an OR of 0.80 (95%CI: 0.45, 1.43). In addition, the adjusted ORs for coronary heart disease and stroke were 1.12 (95%CI: 0.58, 2.17) and 1.13 (95%CI: 0.55, 2.29), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that Alzahrani's study is scientifically unreliable. The association between e-cigarette use and heart attack reported by Alzahrani was substantially driven by age, and the very small number of exposed cases makes the association very unstable. Given the nature of cross-sectional NHIS data, it is impossible to establish a robust association or causal claim that e-cigarette use "increases" the risks of any disease.
METHODS: The National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) data from 2014 to 2021 and logistic regression models were used to replicate and extend Alzahrani's analysis.
RESULTS: Only 12 never smokers who were current e-cigarette users had a myocardial infarction in all eight years. The crude odds ratio (OR) for e-cigarette use was 0.42 (95%CI: 0.24, 0.75). After adjusting for age and other confounding factors and health conditions, the OR of e-cigarette use increased to 2.48 (95%CI: 1.35, 4.55). The omission of age while adjusting for all other risk factors resulted in an OR of 0.80 (95%CI: 0.45, 1.43). In addition, the adjusted ORs for coronary heart disease and stroke were 1.12 (95%CI: 0.58, 2.17) and 1.13 (95%CI: 0.55, 2.29), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that Alzahrani's study is scientifically unreliable. The association between e-cigarette use and heart attack reported by Alzahrani was substantially driven by age, and the very small number of exposed cases makes the association very unstable. Given the nature of cross-sectional NHIS data, it is impossible to establish a robust association or causal claim that e-cigarette use "increases" the risks of any disease.
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