Nomogram for predicting moderate-to-severe sleep-disordered breathing in patients with acute ischaemic stroke: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Moderate-to-severe sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is prevalent in patients with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) and is associated with an increased risk of unfavourable prognosis. We aimed to develop and validate a reliable scoring system for the early screening of moderate-to-severe SDB in patients with AIS, with the objective of improving the management of those patients at risk.

STUDY DESIGN: We developed and validated a nomogram model based on univariate and multivariate logistic analyses to identify moderate-to-severe SDB in AIS patients. Moderate-to-severe SDB was defined as an apnoea-hypopnoea index (AHI) ≥15. To evaluate the effectiveness of our nomogram, we conducted a comparison with the STOP-Bang questionnaire by analysing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

SETTING: Large stroke centre in northern Shanghai serving over 4000 inpatients, 100 000 outpatients and emergency visits annually.

PARTICIPANTS: We consecutively enrolled 116 patients with AIS from the Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital.

RESULTS: Five variables were independently associated with moderate-to-severe SDB in AIS patients: National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (OR=1.20; 95% CI 0.98 to 1.47), neck circumference (OR=1.50; 95% CI 1.16 to 1.95), presence of wake-up stroke (OR=21.91; 95% CI 3.08 to 156.05), neuron-specific enolase level (OR=1.27; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.53) and presence of brainstem infarction (OR=4.21; 95% CI 1.23 to 14.40). We developed a nomogram model comprising these five variables. The C-index was 0.872, indicated an optimal agreement between the observed and predicted SDB patients.

CONCLUSIONS: Our nomogram offers a practical approach for early detection of moderate-to-severe SDB in AIS patients. This tool enables individualised assessment and management, potentially leading to favourable outcomes.