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Model development and initial characterization of Escherichia coli in the shellfish-producing area of Butrinti Lagoon.

The purpose of this research was to estimate the correlation between hydrochemicals and Escherichia coli contamination in Mytilus galloprovincialis by using multi-linear regression and statistically processing the monthly mean results. This study was conducted in a traditional cultivation of M. galloprovincialis , sampled and analyzed (n=136) for E. coli microbial analysis with ISO 16649-3. From 2015 to 2017, seawater was measured with a multiparameter apparatus, where four variables [dissolved oxygen (n=115), temperature (n=127) and pH (n=115), salinity (n=127), and local area rainfall monitoring (n=23)] were taken into consideration. The results were compared and shown to have a significant correlation, allowing for the quantification of the impact resulting from adjustments made to the monthly mean computation. During the study period, statistical performance for each year was estimated R2 =94.4% (2015), R2 =46.8%, and R2 =97.5% (2017).

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