The Predictive Value of Hemoglobin to Red Cell Blood Distribution Width Ratio Combined with Serum Sodium for MACE of Acute Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction in Elderly Patients.

PURPOSE: To investigate the predictive value of hemoglobin (Hb) to red blood cell distribution width (RDW) (Hb/RDW) ratio in combination with serum sodium for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in elderly acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction at 30 days after discharge.

METHODS: 130 elderly acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction were enrolled and followed up at 30 days after discharge. They were classified into the MACE group (n=11) and none-MACE group (n=119). On the day of admission, clinical baseline characteristics were measured and results from laboratory tests were gathered. The correlation and predictive value of Hb/RDW and serum sodium with the occurrence of MACE at 30 days after discharge in acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction in the elderly were analyzed.

RESULTS: Spearman correlation analysis showed that the occurrence of MACE was negatively correlated with Hb/RDW, serum sodium (r=-0.209, r=0.291, p<0.05) and Hb/RDW (OR=0.484, 95% CI:0.254, 0.922), serum sodium (OR=0.779, 95% CI:0.646,0.939) were independent risk factors (p<0.05) analyzed by multifactorial logistic. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction of MACE by Hb/RDW was 0.73, with an optimal threshold of 9.28, sensitivity 81.80%, specificity 70.60%, positive predictive value (PPV) 20.50%, negative predictive value (NPV) 97.70%; the AUC of serum sodium for predicting the occurrence of MACE was 0.76, with an optimal threshold of 140.35 mmol/L, sensitivity 90.90%, specificity 57.10%, PPV 16.40%, NPV 98.60%; and the AUC of Hb/RDW combined serum sodium to predict the occurrence of MACE was 0.83, with sensitivity 90.90%, specificity 78.20%, PPV 27.80% and NPV 98.90%.

CONCLUSION: Hb/RDW and serum sodium had negative correlation with MACE and were independent risk factors of 30-day MACE; Hb/RDW combined with serum sodium can predict 30-day MACE occurrence in elderly acute heart failure patients with preserved ejection fraction.