Incidence of shoulder dystocia and risk factors for recurrence in the subsequent pregnancy-A historical register-based cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Shoulder dystocia is a rare obstetric complication, and the risk of recurrence is important for planning future deliveries.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: The objectives of our study were to estimate the incidence and risk factors for recurrence of shoulder dystocia and to identify women at high risk of recurrence in a subsequent vaginal delivery. The study design was a nationwide register-based study including data from the Danish Medical Birth Registry and National Patient Register in the period 2007-2017. Nulliparous women with a singleton fetus in cephalic presentation were included for analysis of risk factors in index and subsequent delivery.

RESULTS: During the study period, 6002 cases of shoulder dystocia were reported with an overall incidence among women with vaginal delivery of 1.2%. Among 222 225 nulliparous women with vaginal births, shoulder dystocia complicated 2209 (1.0%) deliveries. A subsequent birth was registered in 1106 (50.1%) of the women with shoulder dystocia in index delivery of which 837 (77.8%) delivered vaginally. Recurrence of shoulder dystocia was reported in 60 (7.2%) with a six-fold increased risk compared with women without a prior history of shoulder dystocia (risk ratio [RR] 5.70, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.41 to 7.38; adjusted RR 3.06, 95% CI: 2.03 to 4.68). Low maternal height was a significant risk factor for recurrence of shoulder dystocia. In the subsequent delivery, significant risk factors for recurrence were birthweight >4000 g, positive fetal weight difference exceeding 250 g from index to subsequent delivery, stimulation with oxytocin and operative vaginal delivery. In the subsequent pregnancy following shoulder dystocia, women who underwent a planned cesarean (n = 176) were characterized by more advanced age and a higher prevalence of diabetes in the subsequent pregnancy. Furthermore, they had more often experienced operative vaginal delivery, severe perineal lacerations, and severe neonatal complications at the index delivery.

CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of shoulder dystocia among nulliparous women with vaginal delivery was 1.0% with a 7.2% risk of recurrence in a population where about 50% had a subsequent birth and of these 78% had subsequent vaginal delivery. Important risk factors for recurrence were low maternal height, increase of birthweight ≥250 g from index to subsequent delivery and operative vaginal delivery.