Tumor stroma ratio, tumor stroma maturity, tumor-infiltrating immune cells in relation to prognosis, and neoadjuvant therapy response in esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma.

Accurate predictions on prognosis and neoadjuvant therapy response are crucial for esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (EGJA) patients. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the predictive abilities of several indicators, including tumor stroma ratio (TSR), tumor stroma maturity (TSM), and the density and spatial distribution of tumor-infiltrating immune cells (TIICs), such as T cells, B cells, and tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs). Resection and biopsy specimens of a total of 695 patients were included, obtained from the National Cancer Center (NCC) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohorts. TSR and TSM were evaluated based on histological assessment. TIICs were quantified by QuPath following immunohistochemical (IHC) staining in resection specimens, while the Klintrup-Mäkinen (KM) grade was employed for evaluating TIIC in biopsy specimens. Patients with high stromal levels or immature stroma had relatively worse prognoses. Furthermore, high CD8+ T cell count in the tumor periphery, as well as low CD68+ TAM count either in the tumor center or in the tumor periphery, was an independent favorable prognostic factor. Significantly, the combination model incorporating TSM and CD163+ TAMs emerged as an independent prognostic factor in both two independent cohorts (HR 3.644, 95% CI 1.341-9.900, p = 0.011 and HR 1.891, 95% CI 1.195-2.99, p = 0.006, respectively). Additionally, high stromal levels in preoperative biopsies correlated with poor neoadjuvant therapy response (p < 0.05). In conclusion, our findings suggest that TSR, TSM, CD8+ T cell, CD68+ TAMs, and CD163+ TAMs predict the prognosis to some extent in patients with EGJA. Notably, the combined model incorporating TSM and CD163+ TAM can contribute significantly to prognostic stratification. Additionally, high stromal levels evaluated in preoperative biopsy specimens correlated with poor neoadjuvant therapy response.