Unveiling the strong positive relationship: Maternal characteristics and neonatal outcomes in the Better Outcomes in Labour Difficulty (BOLD) study - a secondary analysis validating neonatal near miss classification.

BACKGROUND: The near miss concept, denoting near collisions between aircraft, originated in aeronautics, but has recently been transferred to the neonatal context as a way of evaluating the quality of health services for newborns, especially in settings with reduced child mortality. However, there is yet no consensus regarding the underlying criteria. The most common indicators used to assess health care quality include mortality (maternal and neonatal) and life-threatening conditions. Using the World Health Organization (WHO) Better Outcomes in Labour Difficulty (BOLD) prospective cohort study data set, we conducted a secondary analysis to validate the near miss concept and explore the association between maternal and neonatal outcomes.

METHODS: We studied 10 203 singleton mothers treated between December 2014 and November 2015 in nine Nigerian and four Ugandan hospitals. We validated the near miss concept by testing the diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, and odds ratio (OR)) using death as the reference variable and calculating the maternal and neonatal case fatality rates. We performed ordinal and binomial logistic regression, with the independent variables being those that had P < 0.1 in the univariate analyses. We considered the significance level of 5%.

RESULTS: We validated the neonatal near miss concept using the BOLD study data. We observed maternal and neonatal case fatality rates of 70.2% and 6.5%, with an increasing severity relationship between maternal and neonatal outcomes (P < 0.05). Ordinal logistic regression showed that gestational age <37 or >41 weeks and <8 antenatal consultations were related to a higher risk of neonatal severe outcomes, while maternal age between 30 and 34 years functioned as a protective factor against severe neonatal outcomes (SNO). Binomial logistic regression showed gestational age <37(OR = 1.46; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.07-1.94) or >41 weeks (OR = 2.26; 95% CI = 1.55-3.20), low educational level (OR = 1.76; 95% CI = 1.12-2.69), overweight/obesity (OR = 1.23; 95% CI = 1.02-1.47), one previous cesarean section (OR = 1.90; 95% CI = 1.36-2.61), one previous abortion (OR = 1.25; 95% CI = 1.00-1.56), and previous chronic condition (OR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.37-2.41) were risk factors for SNO.

CONCLUSIONS: The neonatal near miss concept could be used as a parameter for analysis in different health systems, to ensure that measuring of neonatal severity is comparable across health care units. In this analysis, we observed a progressive association between maternal severity and the severity of the newborns' outcomes.