Hypoglycaemia and the risk of dementia: a population-based cohort study using exposure density sampling.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown hypoglycaemia to be associated with an increased risk of dementia; however, there are several design challenges to consider. The objective of this study is to assess the association between hypoglycaemia and dementia while addressing these challenges using a lag period, exposure density sampling (EDS) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW).

METHODS: This was a population-based cohort using data (1996-2018) from British Columbia, Canada. From a cohort of incident type 2 diabetes patients aged 40-70 years, we created a dynamic sub-cohort of hypoglycaemia-exposed (≥1 episode requiring hospitalization or a physician visit) and unexposed individuals using EDS, in which four unexposed individuals per one exposed were randomly selected into risk sets based on diabetes duration and age. Follow-up was until dementia diagnosis, death, emigration or 31 December 2018. Those diagnosed with dementia within 2 years of follow-up were censored. We adjusted for confounding using IPTW and estimated the hazard ratio (HR, 95% CI) of dementia using weighted conditional cause-specific hazards risk models with death as a competing risk.

RESULTS: Among 13 970 patients with incident type 2 diabetes, 2794 experienced hypoglycaemia. There were 329 dementia events over a median (interquartile range: IQR) follow-up of 5.03 (5.7) years. IPTW resulted in well-balanced groups with weighted incidence rates (95% CI) of 4.59 (3.52, 5.98)/1000 person-years among exposed and 3.33 (2.58, 3.88)/1000 person-years among unexposed participants. The risk of dementia was higher among those with hypoglycaemia (HR, 1.83; 95% CI 1.31, 2.57).

CONCLUSIONS: After addressing several methodological challenges, we showed that hypoglycaemia contributes to an increased risk of all-cause dementia among patients with type 2 diabetes.