Predictive accuracy of an ADC map for hemorrhagic transformation in acute ischemic stroke patients after successful recanalization with endovascular therapy.

Background: Hemorrhagic transformation (HT) of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is associated with poor outcome. Previous studies only reported the association of mean ischemic severity or total infarct volume with HT after endovascular therapy (EVT). We aimed to investigate the predictive value of preoperative apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map for HT by combinated ischemic severity and corresponding volume in AIS after successful recanalization with EVT.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 119 consecutive cases of AIS with large vessel occlusion of anterior circulation within 24 hours after symptom onset and successful recanalization after EVT. All cases had baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), follow-up computed tomography (CT), and magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) or computed tomography angiography (CTA). Volumes of ADC <0.6×10-3 , 0.5×10-3 , 0.4×10-3 , and 0.3×10-3 mm2 /s, baseline characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without HT identified by European Collaborative Acute Stroke Study (ECASS) were compared. The optimal ADC and volume threshold for predicting HT were analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed with clinical characteristics and volumes of optimal ADC threshold to determine risk factors for HT.

Results: Among 119 patients, 42 patients had HT on follow-up CT, including 24 hemorrhagic infarct (HI) cases and 18 parenchymal hematoma (PH) cases. The optimal volumes were 6.46 mL with ADC <0.4×10-3 mm2 /s for predicting both HT and PH, with a larger area under curve (AUC) of 83.3% for HT than that for PH of 80%. In logistic regression analysis, intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IV tPA) treatment, atrial fibrillation, and volume of ADC <0.4×10-3 mm2 /s were identified as independent predictors for HT and volume of ADC <0.4×10-3 mm2 /s had the highest odds ratio (OR) value.

Conclusions: The combination of ischemic severity and corresponding volume in ADC map may predict HT after thrombectomy. In addition to the total infarct volume, volume with severe ischemia should be taken into consideration in preoperative patient selection.