Is radical surgery always curative in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors? A cure model survival analysis.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant therapy after curative surgery for sporadic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (pNETs) is not currently recommended, assuming that all patients could be cured by a radical resection. The aim of our study is to establish how many and which kind of patients remained uncured after radical resection of pNET.

METHODS: Retrospective study involving 143 resected sporadic pNETs. The survival analysis was carried out using the cure model, describing the cure fraction and the excess of risk recurrence. Multivariate analyses were made in order to evaluate the non negligible effect of demographics, clinical and pathological factors on survival parameters. The results were reported as percentages, fractions, ORs and HRs with 95% confidence interval (95 CI %).

RESULTS: The cure fraction and the excess of hazard rate of the whole population were 57.1% (37.4-74.6, 95% CI) and 0.06 (0.03-0.07, 95% CI), respectively. Two independent factors were related to the cure fraction: TNM stage (OR 0.27 ± 0.17; P = 0.002) and grading (OR 0.11 ± 0.18; P = 0.004). Considering the excess of hazard rate, only two independent factors were related to an increased risk of recurrence: TNM stage (HR 3.49 ± 1.12; P = 0.004) and grading (HR 4.93 ± 1.82; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: The radical surgery has a high probability of cure in stages I-II or in grading 1 while, in stages III-IV or in grading 3 tumors, surgery alone failed to achieve a "cure". A multimodal treatment should be employed in order to avoid a recurrence of the disease.