Impact of tumor size on the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who underwent liver resection.

BACKGROUND: Health burdens of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are emerging quickly in the world, including in Taiwan. Surgical resection has been recognized as the first-line treatment for early tumors. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic risk factors for mortality and recurrence rate in Taiwan, which has a high prevalence of chronic viral hepatitis.

METHODS: A total of 397 HCC patients receiving tumor resection were consecutively examined in central Taiwan from 2008 to 2014. A hospital-based patient cohort was designed to collect serological markers to further assess liver function. We modified the Kaplan-Meier method according to the competing death risks for comparing recurrence and used multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression to adjust for significant risk factors.

RESULTS: In addition to advanced fibrosis, tumor size ≥5 cm was significantly associated with higher mortality within the 5-year period when compared with <5 cm (43.3% vs. 13.2%, p < 0.0001). Patients with tumor size ≥5 cm also easily progressed to early recurrence within two years when accounting for death as a competing risk (20.1% vs. 10.1%, p = 0.01). Higher AFP levels played a major role in further predicting higher mortality in those patients. We determined that there were a 4.5-fold and 2.2-fold higher mortalities in patients with size ≥5 cm/AFP ≥20 ng/mL and with size ≥5 cm/AFP< 20 ng/mL, respectively, when compared to patients with small tumors.

CONCLUSION: Tumor size ≥5 cm might be a good predicting factor for death and early recurrence when considering death as a competing risk.