Nomogram Predicting Overall Survival in Operable Cervical Cancer Patients.

OBJECTIVE: Nomograms are widely used as predictive tools to predict oncological outcomes intuitively and precisely. The aim of our study was to develop a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) of patients with early stage cervical cancer.

METHODS: In this retrospective study, the clinical, pathological, and hematological data and prognosis of 795 cervical cancer patients were investigated. We identified and incorporated independent significant prognostic factors for OS to develop a nomogram. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were measured by concordance index.

RESULTS: By univariable analysis and subsequent multivariable analysis, we identified body mass index, albumin, platelet, leukocyte, tumor differentiation, and the status of the pelvic lymph node (PLN) (all P < 0.05) as independent prognostic factors. The concordance index of the nomogram integrating these 6 variables was 0.74. The calibration curves for probability of 3- and 5-year OS also demonstrated ideal agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observation.

CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel nomogram that can provide prediction of OS for patients with early stage cervical cancer individually. Furthermore, studies are required to validate whether it can be applied to other cohorts.