Raimund Erbel, Nils Lehmann, Sofia Churzidse, Michael Rauwolf, Amir A Mahabadi, Stefan Möhlenkamp, Susanne Moebus, Marcus Bauer, Hagen Kälsch, Thomas Budde, Michael Montag, Axel Schmermund, Andreas Stang, Dagmar Führer-Sakel, Christian Weimar, Ulla Roggenbuck, Nico Dragano, Karl-Heinz Jöckel
AIM: Coronary artery calcification (CAC), as a sign of atherosclerosis, can be detected and progression quantified using computed tomography (CT). We develop a tool for predicting CAC progression. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 3481 participants (45-74 years, 53.1% women) CAC percentiles at baseline (CACb) and after five years (CAC₅y) were evaluated, demonstrating progression along gender-specific percentiles, which showed exponentially shaped age-dependence. Using quantile regression on the log-scale (log(CACb+1)) we developed a tool to individually predict CAC₅y, and compared to observed CAC₅y...
November 7, 2014: European Heart Journal