[Predicting the course of urgent abdominal diseases based on intensity of catabolic phenomena].

OBJECTIVE: To develop a highly informative method for predicting the course of early postoperative period in urgent abdominal surgery based on indicators of lipid metabolism.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: We analyzed 113 patients with acute surgical abdominal disease including 56 (49.6%) ones with acute appendicitis complicated by peritonitis, 23 (20.4%) ones with acute intestinal obstruction complicated by peritonitis and 34 (30.0%) patients with acute moderate pancreatitis (early phase). Leukocyte count, malondialdehyde, medium-weight molecules and lipid composition (phospholipid lysoforms) were analyzed throughout a 5-day period. Considering these data, we developed a method for predicting the course of early postoperative period (patent).

RESULTS: Original method is highly effective in predicting the course of early postoperative period in urgent abdominal diseases. Sensitivity and specificity of this method for acute abdominal diseases complicated by acute peritonitis are 94.7% and >86.3%, for acute pancreatitis - 92.7 and 85.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSION: Efficacy of original method is determined by analysis of catabolic phenomena, i.e. indicators of tissue destruction. Of course, assessment of endogenous intoxication whose toxins are components of catabolic (membrane-destructive) processes is essential.