Characteristics associated with transition from opioid initiation to chronic opioid use among opioid-naïve older adults.

Our primary objective was to determine the prevalence and characteristics of opioid-naïve older adults who initiated opioids and transitioned to chronic use. Study populations included older adults ≥ 65 years with continuous medical and drug plan enrollment one-year prior to opioid initiation (pre-period) through one-year after initiation (post-period). Characteristics were determined using multivariate logistic regression. Among eligible insureds (N = 180,498), 70% used only the initial opioid prescription; 30% continued to use opioids requiring ≥ 2 prescriptions with ≥ 15 days' supply. Overall, 6% transitioned to chronic use > 90 days. Characteristics associated with chronic use included: (1) Low income, older, females, in poor health, with new/chronic back pain; (2) opioid initiation with long-acting opioids or tramadol; (3) prescriptions for other pain, sleep or antipsychotic medications; and (4) indications of pre and/or post mental health issues. Careful screening, monitoring and/or alternative non-opioid pain management strategies may be warranted for those at risk for chronic opioid use.