HbA1c predicts long-term postoperative mortality in patients with unknown glycemic status at admission for vascular surgery: An exploratory study.

BACKGROUND: Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and diabetes mellitus (DM) represent major public health challenges and are tightly associated. To facilitate early diagnosis, HbA1c has been implemented as the preferred diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of type 2 DM. In this study, we compared and evaluated HbA1c, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and 2-hour post-load glucose values to determine which test best predicted mortality in patients with PAD.

METHODS: In all, 273 PAD patients with unknown glycemic status admitted to Haukeland University Hospital for elective surgery between October 2006 and September 2007 were included in the study. All 273 patients underwent a standard oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in addition to determination of HbA1c; patients were then grouped into those with DM, intermediate hyperglycemia, and normoglycemia according to World Health Organization and International Expert Committee criteria.

RESULTS: All-cause mortality was 40% over a 9-year follow-up period. After adjusting for age, sex, and relevant medication, HbA1c was a predictor for mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-2.32]; P = 0.04). The association did not achieve statistical significance in a fully adjusted Cox regression model, although the effect estimation of HbA1c on all-cause mortality remained largely unchanged (HR 1.39; 95% CI 0.92-2.09; P = 0.13). The OGTT was not a predictor of long-term mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that HbA1c is a useful marker in the preoperative screening of patients of unknown glycemic status at the time of admission for vascular surgery, and may identify people at high risk of long-term mortality following surgical treatment for PAD.