Uncertainty quantification confirms unreliable extrapolation toward high pressures for united-atom Mie λ -6 force field.

Molecular simulation results at extreme temperatures and pressures can supplement experimental data when developing fundamental equations of state. Since most force fields are optimized to agree with vapor-liquid equilibria (VLE) properties, however, the reliability of the molecular simulation results depends on the validity/transferability of the force field at higher temperatures and pressures. As demonstrated in this study, although state-of-the-art united-atom Mie λ -6 potentials for normal and branched alkanes provide accurate estimates for VLE, they tend to over-predict pressures for dense supercritical fluids and compressed liquids. The physical explanation for this observation is that the repulsive barrier is too steep for the "optimal" united-atom Mie λ -6 potential parameterized with VLE properties. Bayesian inference confirms that no feasible combination of non-bonded parameters ( ϵ , σ , and λ ) is capable of simultaneously predicting saturated vapor pressures, saturated liquid densities, and pressures at high temperatures and densities. This conclusion has both practical and theoretical ramifications, as more realistic non-bonded potentials may be required for accurate extrapolation to high pressures of industrial interest.