Exhaled NO as a predictor of exercise-induced asthma in cold air.

PURPOSE: Physical activity is an important part of life, and exercise-induced asthma (EIA) can reduce the quality of life. A standardized exercise challenge is needed to diagnose EIA, but this is a time consuming, effortful and expensive method. Exhaled nitric oxide (eNO) as a marker of eosinophil inflammation is determined rapidly and easily. The aim of this study was to investigate eNO as surrogate marker for predicting a positive reaction in an exercise challenge in a cold chamber (ECC).

METHODS: A total of 143 subjects aged 6-45 years with suspected EIA were recruited for the study. The subjects underwent an eNO measurement, an ECC and a skin prick test (SPT). To define the sensitivity and specificity of eNO as predictor, a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted. The individual probability of the occurrence of a positive reaction after ECC based on an eNO value was calculated using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS: An eNO cut-off value of 18.5 ppb (area under the curve (AUC) 0.71, p < 0.001) showed the best combination of sensitivity and specificity for a positive reaction (forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 ) decrease ≥ 10% after ECC) for the whole group. An eNO cut-off value of 46.0 ppb had a specificity of 100.0% to predict a significant FEV1 decrease and may save exercise testing in 22.4% of patients. A negative predictive level with a high sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) could not be defined. In the subgroup that was house dust might (HDM) allergy positive (HDM pos; n = 68, 45.5% of all subjects), an eNO cut-off value of 35.5 ppb (AUC 0.79, p < 0.01) showed the best combination of sensitivity and specificity for a positive reaction after the ECC with a specificity 100.0% and may save exercise testing in 45.6% of HDM pos patients. Using logistic regression, a 95% probability for a positive FEV1 decrease after ECC was estimated at 53 ppb for the whole group and at 47 ppb for the HDM pos subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS: Exhaled NO measurement is a screening tool for EIA, especially in HDM pos subjects. In a real-life setting, a cut-off value of 46.0 ppb detects EIA at 100% in all suspected patients, and a cut-off level of 35.5 ppb is valuable marker of EIA in patients with an HDM allergy. These levels can save time and costs in a large proportion of patients and will be helpful for clinicians.