Intracranial arterial calcifications as a prognostic factor for subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).

BACKGROUND: Intracranial arterial calcifications (ICAC) are often detected on unenhanced CT of patients with an age > 60. However, association with the subsequent occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has not yet been evaluated.

PURPOSE: This study aimed at evaluating the association of ICAC with subsequent MACE and overall mortality.

METHODS: In this retrospective, IRB approved study, we included 175 consecutive patients (89 males, mean age 78.3 ± 8.5 years) of age > 60 years who underwent an unenhanced CT of the head due to minor trauma or neurological disorders. Presence of ICAC was determined in seven intracranial arteries using a semi-quantitative scale, which resulted in the calcified plaque score (CPS). Clinical follow-up information was obtained by questionnaires and telephone interviews. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction or revascularization, stroke or death due to cardiovascular event.

RESULTS: Mean follow-up time was 39.8 ± 7.8 months, resulting in 579.7 patient-years of follow-up. Overall, 36 MACE occurred during follow-up (annual event rate = 6.2%/year). Mean CPS was significantly higher in subjects with MACE during follow-up compared to subjects without MACE (p < 0.01). In 15 patients CPS was 0; in none of these patients MACE was registered. Kaplan-Meier-analysis revealed that patients with a low plaque burden (CPS < 5) had a significant longer MACE-free and overall survival than patients with a high plaque burden (CPS ≥ 5) (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION: Patients with ICAC have an increased risk for future cardio- or cerebrovascular events. Therefore, ICAC might be a prognostic factor to determine the risk for these events in older patients.