Prevalence, Mortality, and Spatial Distribution of Gastroschisis in Mexico.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To explore the prevalence, mortality, and spatial distribution of gastroschisis using a large population-based sample with cases identified according to birth and death certificates (ICD-10 diagnosis code Q79.3, gastroschisis) through the General Directorate of Health Information of the Secretary Health of Mexico, over the course of a 15-year period. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, INTERVENTIONS, AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: A descriptive study examining 10,287 cases of gastroschisis was performed from 2000-2014 using public natality data for denominators (more than 25 million live births). Gastroschisis prevalence and mortality was calculated for each of year, state, maternal, and newborn characteristics. Spatial distribution was analyzed according to gastroschisis prevalence in the 32 states of Mexico.

RESULTS: Gastroschisis prevalence was 4.01 per 10,000 live births (annual trend 2.09-6.85). Mortality associated with gastroschisis was 1.28 per 10,000 live births. Women younger than 20 years old, primiparae, and preterm infants had the highest gastroschisis-related prevalence (13.12, 5.83, and 7.51 per 10,000 live births, respectively). Gastroschisis prevalence and mortality did not differ according to newborn sex. A negative binomial distribution, variance (82,391.87) greater than the mean (321.47) was identified.

CONCLUSION: Our findings show an increasing temporal trend for gastroschisis since 2000 in Mexico. Additionally, gastroschisis might follow in future instances a positive binomial or Poisson distribution. Therefore, improving surveillance of risk factors and supporting research for gastroschisis is warranted among maternal age younger than 25, particularly, younger than 20 years of age.