Early Postoperative Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Predicts the Development of Chronic Kidney Disease After Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL)-associated acute kidney injury is common after liver transplantation (LT), but whether early acute kidney injury predicts chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality remains uncertain.

METHODS: Adults with LT from 2008 to 2010 in a previously published prospective cohort evaluating serial uNGAL pre- and post-LT were retrospectively assessed to evaluate uNGAL as a predictor of long-term outcomes post-LT. The primary outcomes were post-LT CKD, defined as Modification of Diet in Renal Disease estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60 mL/min per 1.73 m for 3 continuous months, and death.

RESULTS: uNGAL at 24 hours postreperfusion was significantly higher among patients who developed CKD. Multivariable modeling for the development of CKD demonstrated that uNGAL at 24-hours postreperfusion, 24 hours post-LT renal function, initial calcineurin inhibitor, and age were independent predictors of the development of CKD at in this cohort with long-term follow-up post-LT. Further, this association was stronger in those with preserved pre-LT renal function, a population where renal outcomes are often difficult to predict.

CONCLUSIONS: We propose that perioperative uNGAL may identify patients at risk for CKD and allow for targeted early implementation of renal-sparing strategies.