We have located links that may give you full text access.
Simulating climate with a synchronization-based supermodel.
Chaos 2017 December
The SPEEDO global climate model (an atmosphere model coupled to a land and an ocean/sea-ice model with about 250.000 degrees of freedom) is used to investigate the merits of a new multi-model ensemble approach to the climate prediction problem in a perfect model setting. Two imperfect models are generated by perturbing parameters. Connection terms are introduced that synchronize the two models on a common solution, referred to as the supermodel solution. A synchronization-based learning algorithm is applied to the supermodel through the introduction of an update rule for the connection coefficients. Connection coefficients cease updating when synchronization errors between the supermodel and solutions of the "true" equations vanish. These final connection coefficients define the supermodel. Different supermodel solutions, but with equivalent performance, are found depending on the initial values of the connection coefficients during learning. The supermodels have a climatology and a climate response to a CO2 increase in the atmosphere that is closer to the truth as compared to the imperfect models and the standard multi-model ensemble average, showing the potential of the supermodel approach to improve climate predictions.
Full text links
Related Resources
Get seemless 1-tap access through your institution/university
For the best experience, use the Read mobile app
All material on this website is protected by copyright, Copyright © 1994-2024 by WebMD LLC.
This website also contains material copyrighted by 3rd parties.
By using this service, you agree to our terms of use and privacy policy.
Your Privacy Choices
You can now claim free CME credits for this literature searchClaim now
Get seemless 1-tap access through your institution/university
For the best experience, use the Read mobile app