[Analysis of spatiotemporal patterns and influential factors for mushroom poisoning in Hunan Province in 2015].

OBJECTIVE: To understand the spatial distribution of mushroom poisoning in Hunan Province and its influential factors, and to provide the evidence for control of the mushroom poisoning.
 Methods: The surveillance data for mushroom poisoning cases from 122 counties in Hunan Province in 2015 were collected. Based on geographical information system database, spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatial regression analysis (via OpenGeoDa) was conducted.
 Results: The incidence of mushroom poisoning in Hunan Province in 2015 was 2.94/100 000. Global Moran's I values was 0.315 (P<0.05). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated that Ningxiang, Xiangtan, Shaoyang, Lingling, Jiahe, and Linwu districts et al were "positive hotspot" regions. Guzhang, Hecheng, Dingcheng, Yueyang districts et al were "negative hotspot" regions. Spatial regression analysis revealed that the reported incidence of mushroom poisoning was positively correlated with the annual average temperate (Z=2.145, P=0.032), the number of health care institutions per capita (Z=2.352, P=0.019), and the number of students enrollment in secondary schools (Z=4.309, P<0.001). It was negatively associated with the number of school staff and workers of secondary schools (Z=-2.626, P=0.009).
 Conclusion: The spatial distribution of mushroom poisoning cases in Hunan Province in 2015 is highly clustered. Mushroom poisoning cases are more prevalent in the middle and southern regions and less prevalent in the northern areas of the province. The annual average temperate and the number of students enrollment in secondary schools demonstrate a certain positive influence on the distribution of mushroom poisoning in Hunan.