Smoking, Hypertension, and Their Combined Effect on Ischemic Stroke Incidence: A Prospective Study among Inner Mongolians in China.

OBJECTIVE: We intended to investigate the combined effect of smoking and hypertension on ischemic stroke incidence based on a 10-year prospective study among Inner Mongolians in China.

METHODS: A prospective cohort study from June 2003 to July 2012 was conducted among 2589 participants aged 20 years and older from Inner Mongolia, China. We categorized the participants into 4 subgroups according to the status of smoking and hypertension. The cumulative incidence rates of ischemic stroke among the 4 subgroups were estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared by log-rank test. Cox proportional hazard model was used to compute hazard ratios of ischemic stroke across the 4 subgroups after adjusting for important confounding factors.

RESULTS: The cumulative incidence rates of ischemic stroke were .85%, 2.05%, 3.19%, and 8.14% among non-hypertension/non-smokers, non-hypertension/smokers, hypertension/non-smokers, and hypertension/smokers, respectively. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals] of ischemic stroke for hypertension and smoking were 1.84 [1.05-3.23] and 1.89 [1.11-3.22], respectively. The hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals] of ischemic stroke for non-hypertension/smokers, hypertension/non-smokers, and hypertension/smokers were 1.37 [.56-3.33], 1.34 [.54-3.29], and 2.93 [1.26-6.83], respectively, compared with the non-hypertension/non-smokers. Significant interaction was detected between smoking and hypertension on the risk of ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicated that participants with coexistence of smoking and hypertension were at the highest risk for ischemic stroke. There was a significant interaction between smoking and hypertension on the risk of ischemic stroke.