Long-Term Effectiveness of a Multifactorial Fall and Fracture Prevention Program in Bavarian Nursing Homes: An Analysis Based on Health Insurance Claims Data.

OBJECTIVE: Femoral fractures are frequently consequences of falls in nursing homes and are associated with considerable costs and unfavorable outcomes such as immobility and mortality. The purpose of this study was to examine the long-term effectiveness of a multifactorial fall and fracture prevention program in nursing homes in terms of reducing femoral fractures.

DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING: Nursing homes.

PARTICIPANTS: Health insurance claims data for 2005-2013 including 85,148 insurants of a sickness fund (Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse Bayern), aged 65 years or older and living in 802 nursing homes in Bavaria, Germany.

INTERVENTION: The fall prevention program was implemented stepwise in 4 time-lagged waves in almost 1,000 nursing homes in Bavaria, Germany, and was financially supported by a Bavarian statutory health insurance for the initial period of 3 years after implementation. The components of Bavarian Fall and Fracture Prevention Program were related to the staff (education), to the residents (progressive strength and balance training, medication, hip protectors), and suggested environmental adaptations as well as fall documentation and feedback on fall statistics.

MEASUREMENTS: Data were used to create an unbalanced panel data set with observations per resident and quarterly period. We designed each wave to have 9 quarters (2.25 years) before implementation and 15 quarters (3.75 years) as follow-up period, respectively. Time trend-adjusted logistic generalized estimating equations were used to examine the impact of implementation of the fall prevention program on the likelihood of femoral fractures, controlling for resident and nursing home characteristics. The analysis took into account that the fall prevention program was implemented in 4 time-lagged waves.

RESULTS: The implementation of the fall prevention program was not associated with a significant reduction in femoral fractures. Only a transient reduction of femoral fractures in the first wave was observed. Patient characteristics were positively associated with the likelihood of femoral fractures (P < .001); women compared to men [odds ratio (OR) = 0.877], age category 2 (OR = 1.486) and 3 (OR = 1.973) compared to category 1, care level 1 compared to 2 (OR = 0.897) and 3 (OR = 0.426), and a prior fracture (OR = 2.230) significantly increased the likelihood of a femoral fracture.

CONCLUSIONS: There was no evidence for the long-term effectiveness of the fall prevention program in nursing homes. The restriction of the transient reduction to the first implementation wave may be explainable by a higher motivation of nursing homes starting first with the fall prevention program. Efforts should be directed to further identify factors that determine the long-term effectiveness of fall prevention programs in nursing homes.