The seesaw of CVD: Deaths down, costs up.

Coronary heart disease deaths will decline by 30% between 2010 and 2020 because of improvement in "cardiovascular health metrics" (avoidance of smoking, more physical activity, and so on). But this less-deadly era of CVD is going to be a more costly one, with direct medical costs of CVD more than doubling by 2030 to $918 billion from $396 billion in 2012.