Plasma ferritin, C-reactive protein, and risk of incident type 2 diabetes in Singapore Chinese men and women.

AIMS: Ferritin is postulated to be involved in diabetogenesis as a marker of iron stores. We prospectively examined the association between ferritin levels and type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk in a Chinese population.

METHODS: Plasma ferritin concentrations were assayed among 485 diabetes cases and 485 controls nested within the Singapore Chinese Health Study. Cases and controls were matched on age, gender, date of blood collection, and dialect group. Participants were free of diagnosed diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at blood collection (1999-2004). Incident self-reported T2D cases were identified at follow-up II interview (2006-2010). Multivariable conditional logistic regression models were used to compute the odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS: After adjusting for T2D risk factors, including high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), adiponectin, triglycerides, HDL cholesterol and alanine aminotransferase, the OR comparing the highest versus lowest quartile of ferritin levels was 1.87 (95% CI 1.10-3.19) (P-trend=0.004). When the analysis was limited to participants with hs-CRP<1.5mg/L (below median; n=482), the OR comparing extreme quartiles of ferritin levels was 1.16 (95% CI 0.62-2.16; P-trend=0.63); while the corresponding OR was 2.51 (95% CI 1.31-4.79; P-trend<0.001) when confined to those with hs-CRP≥1.5mg/L (n=488; P-interaction=0.022). Compared to participants with both ferritin and hs-CRP levels below median, those with both levels above median had markedly increased T2D risk (P-interaction for multiplicative scale=0.037).

CONCLUSIONS: The elevation of blood ferritin levels, in the presence of raised hs-CRP, was significantly associated with increased risk of T2D.