Activation of the Serotonin Pathway is Associated with Poor Outcome in COPD Exacerbation: Results of a Long-Term Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND/INTRODUCTION: Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO) metabolizes tryptophan to kynurenine. An increase of its activity is associated with severity in patients with pneumonia. In chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients, an elevation of serotonin has been reported. Experimental models showed that cigarette smoke inhibits monoamine oxidase (MAO) leading to higher levels of serotonin. We investigated the prognostic ability of tryptophan, serotonin, kynurenine, IDO, and tryptophan hydroxylase (TPH) to predict short- and long-term outcomes in patients with a COPD exacerbation.

METHODS: We measured tryptophan, serotonin, and kynurenine on admission plasma samples in patients with a COPD exacerbation from a previous trial by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). IDO and TPH were calculated as ratios of kynurenine over tryptophan, and serotonin over tryptophan, respectively. We studied their association with parameters measured in clinical routine at emergency department admission representing inflammation (C-reactive protein [CRP]), infection (procalcitonin [PCT]), oxygenation (SpO2 ), as well as patients' clinical outcome, confirmed by structured phone interviews.

RESULTS: Mortality in the 149 included patients was 53.7% within six years of follow-up. While IDO activity showed strong positive correlations, tryptophan was negatively correlated with CRP and PCT. For 30-day adverse outcome defined as death and/or intensive care unit (ICU) admission, a multivariate regression analysis adjusted for age and comorbidities found strong associations for IDO activity (adjusted odds ratios of 31.4 (95%CI 1.1-857), p = 0.041) and TPH (adjusted odds ratios 27.0 (95%CI 2.2-327), p = 0.010). TPH also showed a significant association with mortality at 18 months, (hazard ratio 2.61 (95%CI 1.2-5.8), p = 0.020).

CONCLUSION: In hospitalized patients with a COPD exacerbation, higher IDO and TPH activities independently predicted adverse short-term outcomes and TPH levels were also predictive of 18-month mortality. Whether therapeutic modulation of the serotonin pathway has positive effects on outcome needs further investigation.