Predictors of electrocardiographic abnormalities in type 1 Diabetes: the Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy.

PURPOSE: To determine the incidence and determinants of developing abnormalities on the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) in persons with type 1 diabetes.

METHODS: We evaluated the distribution of ECG abnormalities and risk factors for developing new abnormalities in 266 (mean age = 44 years ± 9.0; 50 % female) people with type 1 diabetes from the Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy. This analysis included participants with complete ECG data from study visit 5 (2000-2001) and follow-up ECGs from study visit 7 (2012-2014). ECG abnormalities were classified as major and minor according to Minnesota Code Classification.

RESULTS: At baseline, 94 (35 %) participants had at least one ECG abnormality, including 13 major ECG abnormalities. At follow-up, 117 (44 %) participants developed at least one new ECG abnormality, including 35 new major ECG abnormalities. In a multivariable logistic regression model, older age (per 5-year increase: OR = 1.31, 95 % CI = 1.08, 1.60) was associated with the development of at least one new ECG abnormality, while serum HDL cholesterol (per 10-unit increase: OR = 0.98, 95 % CI = 0.96, 1.00) was protective against developing new ECG abnormalities.

CONCLUSIONS: The development of new ECG abnormalities is common in type 1 diabetes. Older age and HDL cholesterol are independent risk factors for developing new ECG abnormalities. Further research is needed to determine whether routine ECG screening is indicated in people with type 1 diabetes to identify those with underlying subclinical coronary heart disease.