The declining frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia during stress echocardiography over 27 consecutive years (1983-2009).

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested a decline in positivity of stress cardiac imaging, suggesting the need for developing better strategies for test selection to achieve acceptable cost-effectiveness balance. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the rate of positivity of stress echocardiography (SE) over 27 consecutive years.

METHODS: We assessed the rate of SE positivity in 2007 patients without previous myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization who performed SE in a tertiary care referral center from 1983 to 2009. SE was performed with dipyridamole (1427), dobutamine (136) or exercise (444).

RESULTS: There was a progressive decline over time in the rate of SE positivity from 42% (1983-1991) to 22% (2001-2009), with a relative increase of patients with low pre-test probability of disease (from 5% to 27%). The percentage of patients studied with SE under anti-ischemic therapy increased markedly (from 8% in the first to 61% in the last nine years).

CONCLUSION: Over 27 consecutive years, we observed a steady decline in SE positivity rate (with >5-fold increase of low probability patients), with almost 8-fold increase in anti-ischemic therapy at testing. We probably need refined criteria of referral for testing and/or better ways to titrate the negative response beyond wall motion abnormalities during SE.