The Impact of Race on the Prognosis of Preclinical Diastolic Dysfunction: A Large Multiracial Urban Population Study.

BACKGROUND: This study was performed to assess the impact of race on the incidence of heart failure and survival in patients with preclinical diastolic dysfunction.

METHODS: All adults during a 5-year period with grade 1 diastolic dysfunction on echocardiogram, left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 50%, and no diagnosis of heart failure were included in this study. Clinical endpoints were new diagnosis of heart failure (International Classification of Diseases-Ninth Revision code 428.0) and all-cause mortality. A total of 7878 patients: 20.8% non-Hispanic White, 35.8% non-Hispanic Black, and 31.0% Hispanic individuals (mean age was 68 ± 12 years, 37% men) were included in the study. Non-Hispanic Whites were older, more frequently male, and had a higher mean socioeconomic status and more antecedent myocardial infarction.

RESULTS: Non-Hispanic Blacks and Hispanics had more hypertension, diabetes, renal disease, and cerebrovascular disease. After a median follow-up time of 6 years, 1356 patients developed heart failure and 2078 patients died. The 10-year cumulative probabilities of heart failure and all-cause mortality were 23.9% and 32.6%, respectively. Time to incident heart failure was similar among the 3 racial groups. However, non-Hispanic Blacks (hazard ratio 0.80, P = .002) and Hispanics (hazard ratio 0.67, P < .001) experienced lower mortality compared with non-Hispanic Whites, which was confirmed on a propensity-scored sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS: Time to heart failure was similar among the 3 racial groups, however, non-Hispanic Whites experienced worse survival compared with non-Hispanic Blacks and Hispanics, despite their higher burden of risk factors. The reasons for worse survival in the non-Hispanic white population need to be further explored.