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https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27926985/tropical-rainforests-that-persisted-inferences-from-the-quaternary-demographic-history-of-eight-tree-species-in-the-guiana-shield
#1
Stéphanie Barthe, Giorgio Binelli, Bruno Hérault, Caroline Scotti-Saintagne, Daniel Sabatier, Ivan Scotti
How Quaternary climatic and geological disturbances influenced the composition of Neotropical forests is hotly debated. Rain fall and temperature changes during and/or immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) are thought to have strongly affected the geographical distribution and local abundance of tree species. The paucity of the fossil records in Neotropical forests prevents a direct reconstruction of such processes. To describe community-level historical trends in forest composition, we turned therefore to inferential methods based on the reconstruction of past demographic changes...
December 7, 2016: Molecular Ecology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27926380/out-of-hours-workload-management-bayesian-inference-for-decision-support-in-secondary-care
#2
Iker Perez, Michael Brown, James Pinchin, Sarah Martindale, Sarah Sharples, Dominick Shaw, John Blakey
OBJECTIVE: In this paper, we aim to evaluate the use of electronic technologies in out of hours (OoH) task-management for assisting the design of effective support systems in health care; targeting local facilities, wards or specific working groups. In addition, we seek to draw and validate conclusions with relevance to a frequently revised service, subject to increasing pressures. METHODS AND MATERIAL: We have analysed 4 years of digitised demand-data extracted from a recently deployed electronic task-management system, within the Hospital at Night setting in two jointly coordinated hospitals in the United Kingdom...
October 2016: Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27925602/bayesian-intent-prediction-in-object-tracking-using-bridging-distributions
#3
Bashar I Ahmad, James K Murphy, Patrick M Langdon, Simon J Godsill
In several application areas, such as human computer interaction, surveillance and defence, determining the intent of a tracked object enables systems to aid the user/operator and facilitate effective, possibly automated, decision making. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic inference approach that permits the prediction, well in advance, of the intended destination of a tracked object and its future trajectory. Within the framework introduced here, the observed partial track of the object is modeled as being part of a Markov bridge terminating at its destination, since the target path, albeit random, must end at the intended endpoint...
December 2, 2016: IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27925586/a-bayesian-additive-model-for-understanding-public-transport-usage-in-special-events
#4
Filipe Rodrigues, Stanislav Borysov, Bernardete Ribeiro, Francisco Pereira
Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is difficult to predict, even when organisers and transportation operators coordinate. The problem highly increases when several events happen concurrently. To solve these problems, costly processes, heavily reliant on manual search and personal experience, are usual practice in large cities like Singapore, London or Tokyo...
December 2, 2016: IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27924615/a-model-for-predicting-the-interindividual-variability-of-drug-drug-interactions
#5
M Tod, L Bourguignon, N Bleyzac, S Goutelle
Pharmacokinetic drug-drug interactions are frequently characterized and quantified by an AUC ratio (Rauc). The typical value of the AUC ratio in case of cytochrome-mediated interactions may be predicted by several approaches, based on in vitro or in vivo data. Prediction of the interindividual variability of Rauc would help to anticipate more completely the consequences of a drug-drug interaction. We propose and evaluate a simple approach for predicting the standard deviation (sd) of Ln(Rauc), a metric close to the interindividual coefficient of variation of Rauc...
December 6, 2016: AAPS Journal
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27924235/evaluation-of-related-risk-factors-in-number-of-musculoskeletal-disorders-among-carpet-weavers-in-iran
#6
Nasim Karimi, Abbas Moghimbeigi, Majid Motamedzade, Ghodratollah Roshanaei
BACKGROUND: Musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) are a common problem among carpet weavers. This study was undertaken to introduce affecting personal and occupational factors in developing the number of MSDs among carpet weavers. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed among 862 weavers in seven towns with regard to workhouse location in urban or rural regions. Data were collected by using questionnaires that contain personal, workplace, and information tools and the modified Nordic MSDs questionnaire...
December 2016: Safety and Health At Work
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27923357/patient-preferences-for-palliative-treatment-of-locally-advanced-or-metastatic-gastric-cancer-and-adenocarcinoma-of-the-gastroesophageal-junction-a-choice-based-conjoint-analysis-study-from-germany
#7
R Hofheinz, J Clouth, J Borchardt-Wagner, U Wagner, E Weidling, M H Jen, P Brück
BACKGROUND: Decisions on palliative chemotherapy (CT) for locally advanced or metastatic gastric cancer (mGC) require trade-offs between potential benefits and risks for patients. Healthcare providers and payers agree that patient-preferences should be considered. We conducted a choice-based conjoint (CBC) analysis study in pre-treated patients from Germany with mGC or locally advanced or metastatic adenocarcinoma of the gastroesophageal junction (mGEJ-Ca), to evaluate their preferences when hypothetically selecting a CT regimen...
December 6, 2016: BMC Cancer
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27920670/two-visual-pathways-in-primates-based-on-sampling-of-space-exploitation-and-exploration-of-visual-information
#8
Bhavin R Sheth, Ryan Young
Evidence is strong that the visual pathway is segregated into two distinct streams-ventral and dorsal. Two proposals theorize that the pathways are segregated in function: The ventral stream processes information about object identity, whereas the dorsal stream, according to one model, processes information about either object location, and according to another, is responsible in executing movements under visual control. The models are influential; however recent experimental evidence challenges them, e.g., the ventral stream is not solely responsible for object recognition; conversely, its function is not strictly limited to object vision; the dorsal stream is not responsible by itself for spatial vision or visuomotor control; conversely, its function extends beyond vision or visuomotor control...
2016: Frontiers in Integrative Neuroscience
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27920466/joint-models-for-multiple-longitudinal-processes-and-time-to-event-outcome
#9
Lili Yang, Menggang Yu, Sujuan Gao
Joint models are statistical tools for estimating the association between time-to-event and longitudinal outcomes. One challenge to the application of joint models is its computational complexity. Common estimation methods for joint models include a two-stage method, Bayesian and maximum-likelihood methods. In this work, we consider joint models of a time-to-event outcome and multiple longitudinal processes and develop a maximum-likelihood estimation method using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm...
2016: Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27919903/high-throughput-screening-and-prediction-models-building-for-novel-hemozoin-inhibitors-using-physicochemical-properties
#10
Nguyen Tien Huy, Pham Lan Chi, Jun Nagai, Tran Ngoc Dang, Evaristus Chibunna Mbanefo, Ali Mahmoud Ahmed, Nguyen Phuoc Long, Le Thi Bich Thoa, Le Phi Hung, Titouna Afaf, Kaeko Kamei, Hiroshi Ueda, Kenji Hirayama
It is essential to continue the search for novel antimalarial drugs due to current spread of resistance against artemisinin by Plasmodium falciparum parasites. In this study, we developed in silico models to predict hemozoin inhibitors as a potential first-step screening for novel antimalarials. The in vitro colorimetric high throughput screening assay of hemozoin formation was used to identify hemozoin inhibitors from 9600 structurally diverse compounds. Physicochemical properties of positive hits and randomly selected compounds were extracted from ChemSpider database; they were used for developing prediction models to predict hemozoin inhibitors using two different approaches, i...
December 5, 2016: Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27919785/a-comparative-assessment-of-preclinical-chemotherapeutic-response-of-tumors-using-quantitative-non-gaussian-diffusion-mri
#11
Junzhong Xu, Ke Li, R Adam Smith, John C Waterton, Ping Zhao, Zhaohua Ding, Mark D Does, H Charles Manning, John C Gore
BACKGROUND: Diffusion-weighted MRI (DWI) signal attenuation is often not mono-exponential (i.e. non-Gaussian diffusion) with stronger diffusion weighting. Several non-Gaussian diffusion models have been developed and may provide new information or higher sensitivity compared with the conventional apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) method. However the relative merits of these models to detect tumor therapeutic response is not fully clear. METHODS: Conventional ADC, and three widely-used non-Gaussian models, (bi-exponential, stretched exponential, and statistical model), were implemented and compared for assessing SW620 human colon cancer xenografts responding to barasertib, an agent known to induce apoptosis via polyploidy...
December 2, 2016: Magnetic Resonance Imaging
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27919554/quantitative-structure-property-relationships-for-predicting-sorption-of-pharmaceuticals-to-sewage-sludge-during-waste-water-treatment-processes
#12
L Berthod, D C Whitley, G Roberts, A Sharpe, R Greenwood, G A Mills
Understanding the sorption of pharmaceuticals to sewage sludge during waste water treatment processes is important for understanding their environmental fate and in risk assessments. The degree of sorption is defined by the sludge/water partition coefficient (Kd). Experimental Kd values (n=297) for active pharmaceutical ingredients (n=148) in primary and activated sludge were collected from literature. The compounds were classified by their charge at pH7.4 (44 uncharged, 60 positively and 28 negatively charged, and 16 zwitterions)...
December 2, 2016: Science of the Total Environment
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27918908/likelihood-ratio-sequential-sampling-models-of-recognition-memory
#13
Adam F Osth, Simon Dennis, Andrew Heathcote
The mirror effect - a phenomenon whereby a manipulation produces opposite effects on hit and false alarm rates - is benchmark regularity of recognition memory. A likelihood ratio decision process, basing recognition on the relative likelihood that a stimulus is a target or a lure, naturally predicts the mirror effect, and so has been widely adopted in quantitative models of recognition memory. Glanzer, Hilford, and Maloney (2009) demonstrated that likelihood ratio models, assuming Gaussian memory strength, are also capable of explaining regularities observed in receiver-operating characteristics (ROCs), such as greater target than lure variance...
December 2, 2016: Cognitive Psychology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27918886/computational-principles-and-models-of-multisensory-integration
#14
REVIEW
Chandramouli Chandrasekaran
Combining information from multiple senses creates robust percepts, speeds up responses, enhances learning, and improves detection, discrimination, and recognition. In this review, I discuss computational models and principles that provide insight into how this process of multisensory integration occurs at the behavioral and neural level. My initial focus is on drift-diffusion and Bayesian models that can predict behavior in multisensory contexts. I then highlight how recent neurophysiological and perturbation experiments provide evidence for a distributed redundant network for multisensory integration...
December 2, 2016: Current Opinion in Neurobiology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27918599/hierarchical-bayesian-inference-for-ion-channel-screening-dose-response-data
#15
Ross H Johnstone, Rémi Bardenet, David J Gavaghan, Gary R Mirams
Dose-response (or 'concentration-effect') relationships commonly occur in biological and pharmacological systems and are well characterised by Hill curves. These curves are described by an equation with two parameters: the inhibitory concentration 50% (IC50); and the Hill coefficient. Typically just the 'best fit' parameter values are reported in the literature. Here we introduce a Python-based software tool, PyHillFit , and describe the underlying Bayesian inference methods that it uses, to infer probability distributions for these parameters as well as the level of experimental observation noise...
2016: Wellcome Open Res
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27918530/a-probabilistic-approach-to-demixing-odors
#16
Agnieszka Grabska-Barwińska, Simon Barthelmé, Jeff Beck, Zachary F Mainen, Alexandre Pouget, Peter E Latham
The olfactory system faces a hard problem: on the basis of noisy information from olfactory receptor neurons (the neurons that transduce chemicals to neural activity), it must figure out which odors are present in the world. Odors almost never occur in isolation, and different odors excite overlapping populations of olfactory receptor neurons, so the central challenge of the olfactory system is to demix its input. Because of noise and the large number of possible odors, demixing is fundamentally a probabilistic inference task...
December 5, 2016: Nature Neuroscience
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27918181/comparing-vector-based-and-bayesian-memory-models-using-large-scale-datasets-user-generated-hashtag-and-tag-prediction-on-twitter-and-stack-overflow
#17
Clayton Stanley, Michael D Byrne
The growth of social media and user-created content on online sites provides unique opportunities to study models of human declarative memory. By framing the task of choosing a hashtag for a tweet and tagging a post on Stack Overflow as a declarative memory retrieval problem, 2 cognitively plausible declarative memory models were applied to millions of posts and tweets and evaluated on how accurately they predict a user's chosen tags. An ACT-R based Bayesian model and a random permutation vector-based model were tested on the large data sets...
December 2016: Psychological Methods
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27917260/integrative-bayesian-analysis-of-neuroimaging-genetic-data-through-hierarchical-dimension-reduction
#18
S Azadeh, B P Hobbs, L Ma, D A Nielsen, F G Moeller, V Baladandayuthapani
Advances in neuromedicine have emerged from endeavors to elucidate the distinct genetic factors that influence the changes in brain structure that underlie various neurological conditions. We present a framework for examining the extent to which genetic factors impact imaging phenotypes described by voxel-wise measurements organized into collections of functionally relevant regions of interest (ROIs) that span the entire brain. Statistically, the integration of neuroimaging and genetic data is challenging. Because genetic variants are expected to impact different regions of the brain, an appropriate method of inference must simultaneously account for spatial dependence and model uncertainty...
April 2016: Proceedings of the IEEE International Symposium on Biomedical Imaging: from Nano to Macro
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27917138/neural-elements-for-predictive-coding
#19
REVIEW
Stewart Shipp
Predictive coding theories of sensory brain function interpret the hierarchical construction of the cerebral cortex as a Bayesian, generative model capable of predicting the sensory data consistent with any given percept. Predictions are fed backward in the hierarchy and reciprocated by prediction error in the forward direction, acting to modify the representation of the outside world at increasing levels of abstraction, and so to optimize the nature of perception over a series of iterations. This accounts for many 'illusory' instances of perception where what is seen (heard, etc...
2016: Frontiers in Psychology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/27917005/distinct-respiratory-responses-of-soils-to-complex-organic-substrate-are%C3%A2-governed-predominantly-by-soil-architecture-and-its-microbial-community
#20
F C Fraser, L C Todman, R Corstanje, L K Deeks, J A Harris, M Pawlett, A P Whitmore, K Ritz
Factors governing the turnover of organic matter (OM) added to soils, including substrate quality, climate, environment and biology, are well known, but their relative importance has been difficult to ascertain due to the interconnected nature of the soil system. This has made their inclusion in mechanistic models of OM turnover or nutrient cycling difficult despite the potential power of these models to unravel complex interactions. Using high temporal-resolution respirometery (6 min measurement intervals), we monitored the respiratory response of 67 soils sampled from across England and Wales over a 5 day period following the addition of a complex organic substrate (green barley powder)...
December 2016: Soil Biology & Biochemistry
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