Read by QxMD icon Read

Bayesian probability

Xue Li, Jianfeng Feng, Christopher Wellen, Yuqiu Wang
In this study, a modeling framework based on the theory of SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) model was developed to identify impaired river reaches with respect to total nitrogen (TN) and estimate the TN sources in the Xin'anjiang River basin, which had limited monitoring sites. A Bayesian approach was applied to estimate the mean values and uncertainties of parameters, including land use export coefficients and in-stream attention rates. Based on the parameters, the midranges (25-75 %) of annual TN concentrations were assessed by the model and 4...
October 20, 2016: Environmental Science and Pollution Research International
Valérie Roussel, Alain Van Wormhoudt
The genetic differentiation among the populations of the European abalone Haliotis tuberculata was investigated using different markers to better understand the evolutionary history and exchanges between populations. Three markers were used: mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase I (COI), the sperm lysin nuclear gene, and eight nuclear microsatellites. These markers present different characteristics concerning mutation rate and inheritance, which provided complementary information about abalone history and gene diversity...
October 20, 2016: Biochemical Genetics
Ilhem Guesmi-Mzoughi, Antonio Archidona-Yuste, Carolina Cantalapiedra-Navarrete, Hajer Regaieg, Najet Horrigue-Raouani, Juan E Palomares-Rius, Pablo Castillo
Spiral nematode species of the genus Rotylenchus have been reported on olive (Olea europaea L.) in several Mediterranean countries (Castillo et al., 2010; Ali et al., 2014). Nematological surveys for plant-parasitic nematodes on olive trees were carried out in Tunisia between 2013 and 2014, and two nematode species of Rotylenchus were collected from the rhizosphere of olive cv. Chemlali in several localities of Tunisia (Tables 1,2 [Table: see text] [Table: see text] ). Twenty-two soil samples of 3 to 4 kg were collected with a shovel from the upper 50 cm of soil from arbitrarily chosen olive trees...
September 2016: Journal of Nematology
Yongbin Lu, Zhiyuan Cheng, Yaxue Zhao, Xiaoyu Chang, Cynthia Chan, Yana Bai, Ning Cheng
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Our study aims to evaluate the efficacy and safety of long-term treatment of statins for coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS: Efficacy outcomes included changes in blood lipids, risk of CHD mortality and all-cause mortality. Safety outcomes were evaluated by the risk of adverse events (AE). Bayesian network meta-analysis was used to compare the direct and indirect effects between different statins. RESULTS: The systematic review showed that levels of blood lipids decreased during statin treatment...
October 14, 2016: Atherosclerosis
Ronny Hedell, Olga Stephansson, Petter Mostad, Mats Gunnar Andersson
Efficient and correct evaluation of sampling results with respect to hypotheses about the concentration or distribution of bacteria generally requires knowledge about the performance of the detection method. To assess the sensitivity of the detection method an experiment is usually performed where the target matrix is spiked (i.e. artificially contaminated) with different concentrations of the bacteria, followed by analyses of the samples using the pre-enrichment method and the analytical detection method of interest...
October 11, 2016: International Journal of Food Microbiology
Gabriella Juhasz, Eva Csepany, Mate Magyar, Andrea Edit Edes, Nora Eszlari, Gabor Hullam, Peter Antal, Gyongyi Kokonyei, Ian Muir Anderson, John Francis William Deakin, Gyorgy Bagdy
One of the main effects of the endocannabinoid system in the brain is stress adaptation with presynaptic endocannabinoid receptor 1 (CB1 receptors) playing a major role. In the present study, we investigated whether the effect of the CB1 receptor coding CNR1 gene on migraine and its symptoms is conditional on life stress. In a cross-sectional European population (n = 2426), recruited from Manchester and Budapest, we used the ID-Migraine questionnaire for migraine screening, the Life Threatening Experiences questionnaire to measure recent negative life events (RLE), and covered the CNR1 gene with 11 SNPs...
October 19, 2016: Genes, Brain, and Behavior
Séverine Fourdrilis, Patrick Mardulyn, Olivier J Hardy, Kurt Jordaens, António Manuel de Frias Martins, Thierry Backeljau
We report the presence of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) hyperdiversity in the marine periwinkle Melarhaphe neritoides (Linnaeus, 1758), the first such case among marine gastropods. Our dataset consisted of concatenated 16S-COI-Cytb gene fragments. We used Bayesian analyses to investigate three putative causes underlying genetic variation, and estimated the mtDNA mutation rate, possible signatures of selection and the effective population size of the species in the Azores archipelago. The mtDNA hyperdiversity in M...
2016: PeerJ
Joshua G A Cashaback, Heather R McGregor, Henry C H Pun, Gavin Buckingham, Paul L Gribble
The human sensorimotor system is routinely capable of making accurate predictions about an object's weight, which allows for energetically efficient lifts and prevents objects from being dropped. Often however, poor predictions arise when the weight of an object can vary and sensory cues about object weight are sparse (e.g., picking up an opaque water bottle). The question arises, what strategies does the sensorimotor system use to make weight predictions when dealing with an object whose weight may vary? For example, does the sensorimotor system use a strategy that minimizes prediction error (minimal squared error) or one that selects the weight that is most likely to be correct (maximum a posteriori)? Here we dissociated the predictions of these two strategies by having participants lift an object whose weight varied according to a skewed probability distribution...
October 19, 2016: Journal of Neurophysiology
Peter Brommesson, Uno Wennergren, Tom Lindström
The structure of contacts that mediate transmission has a pronounced effect on the outbreak dynamics of infectious disease and simulation models are powerful tools to inform policy decisions. Most simulation models of livestock disease spread rely to some degree on predictions of animal movement between holdings. Typically, movements are more common between nearby farms than between those located far away from each other. Here, we assessed spatiotemporal variation in such distance dependence of animal movement contacts from an epidemiological perspective...
2016: PloS One
Yoonsik Shim, Andrew Philippides, Kevin Staras, Phil Husbands
We propose a biologically plausible architecture for unsupervised ensemble learning in a population of spiking neural network classifiers. A mixture of experts type organisation is shown to be effective, with the individual classifier outputs combined via a gating network whose operation is driven by input timing dependent plasticity (ITDP). The ITDP gating mechanism is based on recent experimental findings. An abstract, analytically tractable model of the ITDP driven ensemble architecture is derived from a logical model based on the probabilities of neural firing events...
October 2016: PLoS Computational Biology
Amy J Davis, Mevin B Hooten, Ryan S Miller, Matthew L Farnsworth, Jesse Lewis, Michael Moxcey, Kim M Pepin
Evaluation of the progress of management programs for invasive species is crucial for demonstrating impacts to stakeholders and strategic planning of resource allocation. Estimates of abundance before and after management activities can serve as a useful metric of population management programs. However, many methods of estimating population size are too labor intensive and costly to implement, posing restrictive levels of burden on operational programs. Removal models are a reliable method for estimating abundance before and after management using data from the removal activities exclusively, thus requiring no work in addition to management...
October 2016: Ecological Applications: a Publication of the Ecological Society of America
Cecilia Olguin Perglione, Marcelo D Golemba, Carolina Torres, Maria Barrandeguy
Equine influenza virus (EIV) is considered the most important respiratory pathogen of horses as outbreaks of the disease lead to substantial economic losses. The H3N8 EIV has caused respiratory disease in horses across the world, including South American countries. Nucleotide and deduced amino acid sequences for the complete haemagglutinin gene of the H3N8 EIV detected in South America since 1963 were analyzed. Phylogenetic and Bayesian coalescent analyses were carried out to study the origin, the time of the most recent common ancestors (tMRCA), the demographic and the phylogeographic patterns of the H3N8 EIV...
October 16, 2016: Pathogens
Benjamin Margolin Rottman
Whether humans can accurately make decisions in line with Bayes' rule has been one of the most important yet contentious topics in cognitive psychology. Though a number of paradigms have been used for studying Bayesian updating, rarely have subjects been allowed to use their own preexisting beliefs about the prior and the likelihood. A study is reported in which physicians judged the posttest probability of a diagnosis for a patient vignette after receiving a test result, and the physicians' posttest judgments were compared to the normative posttest calculated from their own beliefs in the sensitivity and false positive rate of the test (likelihood ratio) and prior probability of the diagnosis...
October 17, 2016: Memory & Cognition
Angie M Johnston, Samuel G B Johnson, Marissa L Koven, Frank C Keil
Like scientists, children seek ways to explain causal systems in the world. But are children scientists in the strict Bayesian tradition of maximizing posterior probability? Or do they attend to other explanatory considerations, as laypeople and scientists - such as Einstein - do? Four experiments support the latter possibility. In particular, we demonstrate in four experiments that 4- to 8-year-old children, like adults, have a robust latent scope bias that leads to inferences that do not maximize posterior probability...
October 17, 2016: Developmental Science
Antonio Mazzella, Anne Olland, Pierre Emmanuel Falcoz, Stephane Renaud, Nicola Santelmo, Gilbert Massard
BACKGROUND: This study evaluates the number of video-assisted thoracic surgery-lobectomies (VATS-lobectomies) required for an experienced consultant thoracic surgeon to obtain competence and to perform standard quality surgery. METHODS: We have analysed the initial VATS-experience (January 2012 to September 2014) of a confirmed senior consultant who has performed 145 consecutive anatomic resections by thoracoscopy. After excluding bilobectomies, segmentectomies, and lobectomies for infectious disease, we have focused into 119 consecutive lobectomies, classified into 4 chronologic groups of 30 each...
September 2016: Journal of Thoracic Disease
Yi Chen, Régis Pouillot, Laurel S Burall, Errol A Strain, Jane M Van Doren, Antonio J De Jesus, Anna Laasri, Hua Wang, Laila Ali, Aparna Tatavarthy, Guodong Zhang, Lijun Hu, James Day, Ishani Sheth, Jihun Kang, Surasri Sahu, Devayani Srinivasan, Eric W Brown, Mickey Parish, Donald L Zink, Atin R Datta, Thomas S Hammack, Dumitru Macarisin
A precise and accurate method for enumeration of low level of Listeria monocytogenes in foods is critical to a variety of studies. In this study, paired comparison of most probable number (MPN) and direct plating enumeration of L. monocytogenes was conducted on a total of 1730 outbreak-associated ice cream samples that were naturally contaminated with low level of L. monocytogenes. MPN was performed on all 1730 samples. Direct plating was performed on all samples using the RAPID'L.mono (RLM) agar (1600 samples) and agar Listeria Ottaviani and Agosti (ALOA; 130 samples)...
September 26, 2016: International Journal of Food Microbiology
Luiz Ricardo Gonçalves, Alexsandra Rodrigues de Mendonça Favacho, André Luiz Rodrigues Roque, Natalia Serra Mendes, Otávio Luiz Fidelis Junior, Jyan Lucas Benevenute, Heitor Miraglia Herrera, Paulo Sérgio D'Andrea, Elba Regina Sampaio de Lemos, Rosangela Zacarias Machado, Marcos Rogério André
: Bartonella spp. comprise an ecologically successful group of microorganisms that infects erythrocytes and have adapted to different hosts, which include a wide range of mammals, besides humans. Rodents are reservoirs of about two thirds of Bartonella spp. described to date; and some of them have been implicated as causative agents of human diseases. In our study, we performed the molecular and phylogenetic analyses of Bartonella spp. infecting wild rodents from five different Brazilian biomes...
October 7, 2016: Applied and Environmental Microbiology
Qinkun Xiao, Ren Song
A novel motion retrieval approach based on statistical learning and Bayesian fusion is presented. The approach includes two primary stages. (1) In the learning stage, fuzzy clustering is utilized firstly to get the representative frames of motions, and the gesture features of the motions are extracted to build a motion feature database. Based on the motion feature database and statistical learning, the probability distribution function of different motion classes is obtained. (2) In the motion retrieval stage, the query motion feature is extracted firstly according to stage (1)...
2016: PloS One
Hongliang Chu, Chunxiao Li, Xiaoxia Guo, Hengduan Zhang, Peng Luo, Zhonghua Wu, Gang Wang, Tongyan Zhao
The known mosquito mitogenomes, containing a total of 34 species, which belong to five genera, were collected from GenBank, and the practicality and effectiveness of the variation in the complete mitochondrial DNA genome and portions of mitochondrial COI gene were assessed to reconstruct the phylogeny of mosquitoes. Phylogenetic trees were reconstructed on the basis of parsimony, maximum likelihood, and Bayesian (BI) methods. It is concluded that: (1) Both mitogenomes and COI gene support the monophly of following taxa: Subgenus Nyssorhynchus, Subgenus Cellia, Anopheles albitarsis complex, Anopheles gambiae complex, and Anopheles punctulatus group; (2) Genus Aedes is not monophyletic relative to Ochlerotatus vigilax; (3) The mitogenome results indicate a close relationship between Anopheles epiroticus and Anopheles gambiae complex, Anopheles dirus complex and Anopheles punctulatus group, respectively; (4) The Bayesian posterior probability (BPP) within phylogenetic tree reconstructed by mitogenomes is higher than COI tree...
October 12, 2016: Mitochondrial DNA. Part A. DNA Mapping, Sequencing, and Analysis
Hadrien P A Vanthomme, Elie Tobi, Angelique F Todd, Lisa Korte, Alfonso Alonso
Unsustainable hunting outside protected areas is threatening tropical biodiversity worldwide and requires conservationists to engage increasingly in antipoaching activities. Following the example of ecocertified logging companies, we argue that other extractive industries managing large concessions should engage in antipoaching activities as part of their environmental management plans. Onshore hydrocarbon concessions should also adopt antipoaching protocols as a standard because they represent a biodiversity threat comparable to logging...
October 12, 2016: Conservation Biology: the Journal of the Society for Conservation Biology
Fetch more papers »
Fetching more papers... Fetching...
Read by QxMD. Sign in or create an account to discover new knowledge that matter to you.
Remove bar
Read by QxMD icon Read

Search Tips

Use Boolean operators: AND/OR

diabetic AND foot
diabetes OR diabetic

Exclude a word using the 'minus' sign

Virchow -triad

Use Parentheses

water AND (cup OR glass)

Add an asterisk (*) at end of a word to include word stems

Neuro* will search for Neurology, Neuroscientist, Neurological, and so on

Use quotes to search for an exact phrase

"primary prevention of cancer"
(heart or cardiac or cardio*) AND arrest -"American Heart Association"