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Prediction epidemiology

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https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28728176/the-epidemiology-of-retinopathy-of-prematurity-in-the-united-states
#1
Cassie A Ludwig, Tiffany A Chen, Tina Hernandez-Boussard, Andrew A Moshfeghi, Darius M Moshfeghi
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of blindness in premature and low birth weight infants. Here, the authors examine the incidence of ROP in the United States and evaluate risk factors associated with ROP development. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The National Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Kids' Inpatient Database was queried for all newborns with and without ROP. Adjusted odds ratios were constructed for predictors of ROP using multivariate logistic regression modeling...
July 1, 2017: Ophthalmic Surgery, Lasers & Imaging Retina
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28728168/lung-cancer-prognostic-index-a-risk-score-to-predict-overall-survival-after-the-diagnosis-of-non-small-cell-lung-cancer
#2
Marliese Alexander, Rory Wolfe, David Ball, Matthew Conron, Robert G Stirling, Benjamin Solomon, Michael MacManus, Ann Officer, Sameer Karnam, Kate Burbury, Sue M Evans
INTRODUCTION: Non-small-cell lung cancer outcomes are poor but heterogeneous, even within stage groups. To improve prognostic precision we aimed to develop and validate a simple prognostic model using patient and disease variables. METHODS: Prospective registry and study data were analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression to derive a prognostic model (hospital 1, n=695), which was subsequently tested (Harrell's c-statistic for discrimination and Cox-Snell residuals for calibration) in two independent validation cohorts (hospital 2, n=479 and hospital 3, n=284)...
July 20, 2017: British Journal of Cancer
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28728065/c-reactive-protein-in-atherosclerosis-a-risk-marker-but-not-a-causal-factor-a-13-year-population-based-longitudinal-study-the-troms%C3%A3-study
#3
Agnethe Eltoft, Kjell Arne Arntzen, John-Bjarne Hansen, Tom Wilsgaard, Ellisiv B Mathiesen, Stein Harald Johnsen
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: CRP predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD) in large epidemiologic studies. The aim of the present study was to elucidate the role of CRP in atherosclerosis formation and progression in a prospective population-based study. METHODS: 6503 middle-aged subjects from The Tromsø study had serum CRP, carotid ultrasound and complete covariate data collected at baseline in 1994. Of these, 4730 and 2917 attended follow-up surveys with repeated assessments in 2001 and 2007, respectively...
July 5, 2017: Atherosclerosis
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28727456/constrained-mixed-effect-models-with-ensemble-learning-for-prediction-of-nitrogen-oxides-concentrations-at-a-high-spatiotemporal-resolution
#4
Lianfa Li, Fred Lurmann, Rima Habre, Robert Urman, Edward Rappaport, Beate Ritz, Jiu-Chiuan Chen, Frank Gilliland, Jun Wu
Spatiotemporal models to estimate ambient exposures at high spatiotemporal resolutions are crucial in large-scale air pollution epidemiological studies that follow participants over extended periods. Previous models typically rely on central-site monitoring data and/or covered short periods, limiting their applications to long-term cohort studies. Here we developed a spatiotemporal model that can reliably predict nitrogen oxide concentrations with a high spatiotemporal resolution over a long time span (>20 years)...
July 20, 2017: Environmental Science & Technology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28724391/hormone-receptor-status-of-a-first-primary-breast-cancer-predicts-contralateral-breast-cancer-risk-in-the-wecare-study-population
#5
Anne S Reiner, Charles F Lynch, Julia S Sisti, Esther M John, Jennifer D Brooks, Leslie Bernstein, Julia A Knight, Li Hsu, Patrick Concannon, Lene Mellemkjær, Marc Tischkowitz, Robert W Haile, Ronglai Shen, Kathleen E Malone, Meghan Woods, Xiaolin Liang, Monica Morrow, Jonine L Bernstein
BACKGROUND: Previous population-based studies have described first primary breast cancer tumor characteristics and their association with contralateral breast cancer (CBC) risk. However, information on influential covariates such as treatment, family history of breast cancer, and BRCA1/2 mutation carrier status was not available. In a large, population-based, case-control study, we evaluated whether tumor characteristics of the first primary breast cancer are associated with risk of developing second primary asynchronous CBC, overall and in subgroups of interest, including among BRCA1/2 mutation non-carriers, women who are not treated with tamoxifen, and women without a breast cancer family history...
July 19, 2017: Breast Cancer Research: BCR
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28723411/the-risks-of-biomarker-based-epidemiology-associations-of-circulating-calcium-levels-with-age-mortality-and-frailty-vary-substantially-across-populations
#6
REVIEW
Alan A Cohen, Véronique Legault, Georg Fuellen, Tamàs Fülöp, Linda P Fried, Luigi Ferrucci
Recent studies have shown contradictory associations between calcium levels and health outcomes. We suspected these conflicting results were the consequence of more general issues with how biomarkers are analyzed in epidemiological studies, particularly in the context of aging. To demonstrate the risks of typical analyses, we used three longitudinal aging cohort studies and their demographic subsets to analyze how calcium levels change with age and predict risk of mortality and frailty. We show that calcium levels either increase or decrease with age depending on the population, and positively or negatively predict frailty depending on the population; both age and frailty results showed substantial heterogeneity...
July 16, 2017: Experimental Gerontology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28720250/cardiovascular-disease-and-perceived-weight-racial-and-gender-discrimination-in-u-s-adults
#7
Tomoko Udo, Carlos M Grilo
OBJECTIVE: To date, most research on perceived discrimination and cardiovascular disease (CVD) has examined racial discrimination although other forms of discrimination may also impact physical and mental health. The current study investigated the relationship between three forms of discrimination (weight, race, and gender) and 3-year incidence of CVD in a large national sample of U.S. adults. METHODS: 26,992 adults (55.5% women) who participated in the 2001-2002 and 2004-2005 National Epidemiologic Survey of Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC) were included in this study...
July 13, 2017: Journal of Psychosomatic Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28719659/dengue-prediction-by-the-web-tweets-are-a-useful-tool-for-estimating-and-forecasting-dengue-at-country-and-city-level
#8
Cecilia de Almeida Marques-Toledo, Carolin Marlen Degener, Livia Vinhal, Giovanini Coelho, Wagner Meira, Claudia Torres Codeço, Mauro Martins Teixeira
BACKGROUND: Infectious diseases are a leading threat to public health. Accurate and timely monitoring of disease risk and progress can reduce their impact. Mentioning a disease in social networks is correlated with physician visits by patients, and can be used to estimate disease activity. Dengue is the fastest growing mosquito-borne viral disease, with an estimated annual incidence of 390 million infections, of which 96 million manifest clinically. Dengue burden is likely to increase in the future owing to trends toward increased urbanization, scarce water supplies and, possibly, environmental change...
July 18, 2017: PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28719597/pharmacogenomics-study-of-thiazide-diuretics-and-qt-interval-in-multi-ethnic-populations-the-cohorts-for-heart-and-aging-research-in-genomic-epidemiology
#9
A A Seyerle, C M Sitlani, R Noordam, S M Gogarten, J Li, X Li, D S Evans, F Sun, M A Laaksonen, A Isaacs, K Kristiansson, H M Highland, J D Stewart, T B Harris, S Trompet, J C Bis, G M Peloso, J A Brody, L Broer, E L Busch, Q Duan, A M Stilp, C J O'Donnell, P W Macfarlane, J S Floyd, J A Kors, H J Lin, R Li-Gao, T Sofer, R Méndez-Giráldez, S R Cummings, S R Heckbert, A Hofman, I Ford, Y Li, L J Launer, K Porthan, C Newton-Cheh, M D Napier, K F Kerr, A P Reiner, K M Rice, J Roach, B M Buckley, E Z Soliman, R de Mutsert, N Sotoodehnia, A G Uitterlinden, K E North, C R Lee, V Gudnason, T Stürmer, F R Rosendaal, K D Taylor, K L Wiggins, J G Wilson, Y-DI Chen, R C Kaplan, K Wilhelmsen, L A Cupples, V Salomaa, C van Duijn, J W Jukema, Y Liu, D O Mook-Kanamori, L A Lange, R S Vasan, A V Smith, B H Stricker, C C Laurie, J I Rotter, E A Whitsel, B M Psaty, C L Avery
Thiazide diuretics, commonly used antihypertensives, may cause QT interval (QT) prolongation, a risk factor for highly fatal and difficult to predict ventricular arrhythmias. We examined whether common single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) modified the association between thiazide use and QT or its component parts (QRS interval, JT interval) by performing ancestry-specific, trans-ethnic and cross-phenotype genome-wide analyses of European (66%), African American (15%) and Hispanic (19%) populations (N=78 199), leveraging longitudinal data, incorporating corrected standard errors to account for underestimation of interaction estimate variances and evaluating evidence for pathway enrichment...
July 18, 2017: Pharmacogenomics Journal
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28719262/evaluation-of-a-mobile-phone-based-microscope-for-screening-of-schistosoma-haematobium-infection-in-rural-ghana
#10
Isaac I Bogoch, Hatice C Koydemir, Derek Tseng, Richard K D Ephraim, Evans Duah, Joseph Tee, Jason R Andrews, Aydogan Ozcan
AbstractSchistosomiasis affects over 170 million people in Africa. Here we compare a novel, low-cost mobile phone microscope to a conventional light microscope for the label-free diagnosis of Schistosoma haematobium infections in a rural Ghanaian school setting. We tested the performance of our handheld microscope using 60 slides that were randomly chosen from an ongoing epidemiologic study in school-aged children. The mobile phone microscope had a sensitivity of 72.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 56.1-84...
June 2017: American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28717775/impact-of-early-coronary-angiography-on-the-survival-to-discharge-after-out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrest
#11
Jikyoung Shin, Eunsil Ko, Won Chul Cha, Tae Rim Lee, Hee Yoon, Sung Yeon Hwang, Tae Gun Shin, Min Seob Sim, Ik Joon Jo, Keun Jeong Song, Joong Eui Rhee, Yeon Kwon Jeong, Jin-Ho Choi
OBJECTIVE: Acute myocardial infarction is a major cause of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Coronary angiography (CAG) enables diagnostic confirmation of coronary artery disease and subsequent revascularization, which might improve the prognosis of OHCA survivors. Non-randomized data has shown a favorable impact of CAG on prognosis for this population. However, the optimal timing of CAG has been debated. METHODS: The clinical outcomes of 607 OHCA patients registered in CAPTURES (Cardiac Arrest Pursuit Trial with Unique Registration and Epidemiologic Surveillance), a nationwide multicenter registry performed in 27 hospitals, were analyzed...
June 2017: Clinical and Experimental Emergency Medicine
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28715783/development-of-land-use-regression-models-for-pm2-5-so2-no2-and-o3-in-nanjing-china
#12
Lei Huang, Can Zhang, Jun Bi
Ambient air pollution has been a global problem, especially in China. Comparing with other methods, Land Use Regression (LUR) models can obtain air pollutant concentration distribution at finer scale without the air pollution source data based on a few monitoring sites and predictors. However, limited LUR studies have been conducted on the basis of regular monitoring networks. Thus, we explored the applicability of conducting LUR models for four key air pollutants: PM2.5, SO2, NO2 and O3, on the basis of national monitoring networks which have good representation of areas with different characteristics in Nanjing, China...
July 14, 2017: Environmental Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28714490/current-diagnostic-approach-and-initial-treatment-patterns-for-renal-colic-in-emergency-department
#13
R Shrestha, Y Bista, A Khan
BACKGROUND: Renal colic is a common clinical presentation in emergency. The goal of this study was to describe the epidemiology, current diagnostic and treatment strategies of ureteric colic in our emergency department. METHODS: This is a retrospective study performed over a six months period of patients with clinically suspected renal colic. Data collected included age, sex, urine analysis, ultrasound studies regarding size, site of the stone and presence of hydronephrosis...
January 2017: Journal of Nepal Health Research Council
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28713767/validated-questionnaire-of-maternal-attitude-and-knowledge-for-predicting-caries-risk-in-children-epidemiological-study-in-north-jakarta-indonesia
#14
Sri Ratna Laksmiastuti, Sarworini Bagio Budiardjo, Heriandi Sutadi
AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: Predicting caries risk in children can be done by identifying caries risk factors. It is an important measure which contributes to best understanding of the cariogenic profile of the patient. Identification could be done by clinical examination and answering the questionnaire. We arrange the study to verify the questionnaire validation for predicting caries risk in children. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was conducted on 62 pairs of mothers and their children, aged between 3 and 5 years...
June 2017: Journal of International Society of Preventive & Community Dentistry
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28712615/predicting-real-world-effectiveness-of-cancer-therapies-using-overall-survival-and-progression-free-survival-from-clinical-trials-empirical-evidence-for-the-asco-value-framework
#15
Darius N Lakdawalla, Jason Shafrin, Ningqi Hou, Desi Peneva, Seanna Vine, Jinhee Park, Jie Zhang, Ron Brookmeyer, Robert A Figlin
OBJECTIVES: To measure the relationship between randomized controlled trial (RCT) efficacy and real-world effectiveness for oncology treatments as well as how this relationship varies depending on an RCT's use of surrogate versus overall survival (OS) endpoints. METHODS: We abstracted treatment efficacy measures from 21 phase III RCTs reporting OS and either progression-free survival or time to progression endpoints in breast, colorectal, lung, ovarian, and pancreatic cancers...
July 2017: Value in Health: the Journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28711972/the-relationship-of-blood-glucose-with-cardiovascular-disease-is-mediated-over-time-by-traditional-risk-factors-in-type-1-diabetes-the-dcct-edic-study
#16
Ionut Bebu, Barbara H Braffett, Rodica Pop-Busui, Trevor J Orchard, David M Nathan, John M Lachin
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Chronic hyperglycaemia, as measured by HbA1c levels, is a major risk factor for atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in type 1 diabetes. Our aim was to describe the degree to which the effect of HbA1c on the risk of CVD is mediated by its effect on traditional risk factors over time, and how these mediation pathways change over time. METHODS: The DCCT and its observational follow-up study, the Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (EDIC), followed 1441 participants for a mean of 27 years, with periodic measurement of HbA1c and risk factors over time...
July 16, 2017: Diabetologia
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28711797/symptom-severity-and-disability-in-psychiatric-disorders-the-u-s-collaborative-psychiatric-epidemiology-survey
#17
R García-Velázquez, M Jokela, T H Rosenström
BACKGROUND: While most psychiatric diagnoses are based on simple counts of symptoms, some symptoms may be sign of a more severe mental syndrome than others. This calls for validated estimates of the relative severity specific symptoms imply within a disorder. We focused on four diagnostic disorders: Manic Episode (ME), Major Depressive Episode (MDE), Post-traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD). Symptom-specific severity parameters were estimated, and validated by examining their association with levels of self-reported disability in daily activities over and above the number of symptoms...
July 8, 2017: Journal of Affective Disorders
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28710955/epidemiologic-evaluation-of-canine-urolithiasis-in-thailand-from-2009-to-2015
#18
Vachira Hunprasit, Carl A Osborne, Pamela J Schreiner, Jeff B Bender, Jody P Lulich
The cross-sectional study described the epidemiology of 8560 canine urolith submissions from Thailand to the Minnesota Urolith Center between January 2009 and December 2015. The frequency of urolith types, the relationships between urolith type and breed, sex, and neutered status, and change of annual submission proportion over the study period were analyzed. Struvite was the most common canine urolith (44%), and was commonly found in intact females with a mean age of 6.3±3.1years. Calcium oxalate was the second most common (27%), more frequently found in intact males with a mean age of 8...
July 9, 2017: Research in Veterinary Science
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28709798/risk-of-second-primary-malignancies-in-patients-with-follicular-lymphoma-a-united-states-population-based-study
#19
Smith Giri, Vijaya Raj Bhatt, Vivek Verma, Ranjan Pathak, R Gregory Bociek, Julie M Vose, James O Armitage
BACKGROUND: With the improving outcomes of patients with follicular lymphoma (FL), it is imperative to focus on survivorship issues, including the development of second primary malignancies (SPMs). We used a large US database to measure the risk of SPMs among FL survivors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-13 registry to identify FL patients from 1992 to 2011. We calculated the risk of SPMs, developing ≥ 6 months after diagnosis, using the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and absolute excess risk...
June 24, 2017: Clinical Lymphoma, Myeloma & Leukemia
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28707498/epidemiology-of-injuries-in-men-s-lacrosse-implications-for-level-type-of-play-and-position
#20
Kim Barber Foss, Ed Le Cara, Teri McCambridge, Richard Hinton, Adam Kushner, Greg Myer
OBJECTIVE: The growth in participation in men's lacrosse has increased the likelihood of sport-specific injuries. Despite the exponential growth in men's lacrosse participation, there continues to be a need for specific epidemiological data concerning lacrosse injuries. The sport's rapid growth in participation could have a profound effect on injury prevalence characteristics. The purpose of this literature review is to aggregate available published data on injuries that occur in the sport of men's lacrosse at the youth, high school, collegiate, and professional levels...
July 14, 2017: Physician and Sportsmedicine
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