Read by QxMD icon Read

Prediction epidemiology

Olivier Taboureau, Karine Audouze
During the past decades, many epidemiological, toxicological and biological studies have been performed to assess the role of environmental chemicals as potential toxicants for diverse human disorders. However, the relationships between diseases based on chemical exposure have been rarely studied by computational biology. We developed a human environmental disease network (EDN) to explore and suggest novel disease-disease and chemical-disease relationships. The presented scored EDN model is built upon the integration on systems biology and chemical toxicology using chemical contaminants information and their disease relationships from the reported TDDB database...
October 21, 2016: ALTEX
Taner Basturk, Ozlem Sari, Yener Koc, Nezaket Eren, Mahmoud Isleem, Ekrem Kara, Mustafa Sevinc, Tamer Sakaci, Elbis Ahbap, Nuri B Hasbal, Feyza B Caglayan, Abdulkadir Unsal
BACKGROUND: Neutrophilgelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) has been proven to be a useful biomarker for early detection of acute kidney injury, but it is not known whether adding NGAL measurements to conventional risk factors will improve the risk assessment in the setting of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The aim of the present study was to examine the correlation of NGAL with early stage renal impairment in CKD and to evaluate its prognostic value in these subjects. METHODS: This is a prospective observational cohort study of 54 patients with early stage (stage 1-2) CKD...
October 21, 2016: Minerva Urologica e Nefrologica, the Italian Journal of Urology and Nephrology
Sharon Bewick, Folashade Agusto, Justin M Calabrese, Ephantus J Muturi, William F Fagan
La Crosse encephalitis is a viral disease that has emerged in new locations across the Appalachian region of the United States. Conventional wisdom suggests that ongoing emergence of La Crosse virus (LACV) could stem from the invasive Asian tiger (Aedes albopictus) mosquito. Efforts to prove this, however, are complicated by the numerous transmission routes and species interactions involved in LACV dynamics. To analyze LACV transmission by Asian tiger mosquitoes, we constructed epidemiologic models. These models accurately predict empirical infection rates...
November 2016: Emerging Infectious Diseases
Sonia Menon, Aibibula Wusiman, Marie Claude Boily, Mbabazi Kariisa, Hillary Mabeya, Stanley Luchters, Frode Forland, Rodolfo Rossi, Steven Callens, Davy Vanden Broeck
BACKGROUND: There is a scarcity of data on the distribution of human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes in the HIV positive population and in invasive cervical cancer (ICC) in Kenya. This may be different from genotypes found in abnormal cytology. Yet, with the advent of preventive HPV vaccines that target HPV 16 and 18, and the nonavalent vaccine targeting 90% of all ICC cases, such HPV genotype distribution data are indispensable for predicting the impact of vaccination and HPV screening on prevention...
2016: PloS One
Shinichiro Tomitaka, Yohei Kawasaki, Kazuki Ide, Maiko Akutagawa, Hiroshi Yamada, Toshiaki A Furukawa, Yutaka Ono
BACKGROUND: Previously, we proposed a model for ordinal scale scoring in which individual thresholds for each item constitute a distribution by each item. This lead us to hypothesize that the boundary curves of each depressive symptom score in the distribution of total depressive symptom scores follow a common mathematical model, which is expressed as the product of the frequency of the total depressive symptom scores and the probability of the cumulative distribution function of each item threshold...
2016: PeerJ
Y Wang, H Y He
Objective: To evaluate the epidemiology, clinicopathological features and prognosis in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) patients. Methods: All archival 368 UTUC cases that underwent radical nephroureterectomy between September 1999 and October 2014 were reviewed, and their clinicopathological features were analyzed. Follow-up time was 1-216 months, with a mean follow-up of 41 month. Results: One hundred and twenty-eight male and 240 female patients were included, with a mean age of 68 years ranging from 31 to 88 years...
October 8, 2016: Zhonghua Bing Li Xue za Zhi Chinese Journal of Pathology
Bohumír Procházka, Jan Kynčl
In epidemiology, it is very important to estimate the baseline incidence of infectious diseases, but the available data are often subject to outliers due to epidemic outbreaks. Consequently, the estimate of the baseline incidence is biased and so is the predicted epidemic threshold which is a crucial reference indicator used to suspect and detect an epidemic outbreak. Another problem is that the "usual" incidence varies in a season dependent manner, i.e. it may not be constant throughout the year, is often periodic, and may also show a trend between years...
September 2016: Central European Journal of Public Health
Jianfei Fu, Lunpo Wu, Mengjie Jiang, Dan Li, Ting Jiang, Zhongwu Hong, Fan Wang, Shuguang Li
BACKGROUND: The features related to the prognosis of patients with mucinous breast cancer (MBC) remain controversial. We aimed to explore the prognostic factors of MBC and develop a nomogram for predicting survival outcomes. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was searched to identify 139611 women with resectable breast cancer from 1990 to 2007. Survival curves were generated using Kaplan-Meier methods. The 5-year and 10-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates were calculated using the Life-Table method...
2016: PloS One
Peter Brommesson, Uno Wennergren, Tom Lindström
The structure of contacts that mediate transmission has a pronounced effect on the outbreak dynamics of infectious disease and simulation models are powerful tools to inform policy decisions. Most simulation models of livestock disease spread rely to some degree on predictions of animal movement between holdings. Typically, movements are more common between nearby farms than between those located far away from each other. Here, we assessed spatiotemporal variation in such distance dependence of animal movement contacts from an epidemiological perspective...
2016: PloS One
Martin Vyska, Christopher Gilligan
We analyse the dynamical behaviour of a simple, widely used model that integrates epidemiological dynamics with disease control and economic constraint on the control resources. We consider both the deterministic model and its stochastic counterpart. Despite its simplicity, the model exhibits mathematically rich dynamics, including multiple stable fixed points and stable limit cycles arising from global bifurcations. We show that the existence of the limit cycles in the deterministic model has important consequences in modelling the range of potential effects the control can have...
October 18, 2016: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
Noemi Pavo, Raphael Wurm, Stephanie Neuhold, Christopher Adlbrecht, Greisa Vila, Guido Strunk, Martin Clodi, Michael Resl, Helmut Brath, Rudolf Prager, Anton Luger, Richard Pacher, Martin Hülsmann
BACKGROUND: Diabetes has been linked epidemiologically to increased cancer incidence and mortality. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is increased in patients with diabetes and has recently been linked to the occurrence of cancer. We investigated whether circulating GDF-15 concentrations can predict the incidence of malignant diseases in a diabetic patient cohort already facing increased risk for cancer. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled a total of 919 patients with type 2 diabetes and no history of malignant disease, who were clinically followed up for 60 months...
October 18, 2016: Clinical Chemistry
Linda Moniz, Anna L Buczak, Ben Baugher, Erhan Guven, Jean-Paul Chretien
BACKGROUND: Prediction of influenza weeks in advance can be a useful tool in the management of cases and in the early recognition of pandemic influenza seasons. METHODS: This study explores the prediction of influenza-like-illness incidence using both epidemiological and climate data. It uses Lorenz's well-known Method of Analogues, but with two novel improvements. Firstly, it determines internal parameters using the implicit near-neighbor distances in the data, and secondly, it employs climate data (mean dew point) to screen analogue near-neighbors and capture the hidden dynamics of disease spread...
October 19, 2016: BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
Meixue Chen, Jumei Xia, Guangchang Pei, Ying Zhang, Shuting Wu, Yushuang Qin, Yuanjun Deng, Shuiming Guo, Yanyan Guo, Gang Xu, Min Han
BACKGROUND: Researchers have developed several equations to predict glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in patients with chronic kidney diseases (CKD). However, there are scarcely any studies performed to discern the best equation to estimate GFR in patients with pure obstructive nephropathy. In present study, we assessed the suitability of six prediction equations and compared their performance in eGFR evaluation for Chinese patients with obstructive nephropathy. METHODS: A total of 245 adult patients with obstructive nephropathy were enrolled...
October 18, 2016: BMC Nephrology
Ashish A Deshmukh, Hui Zhao, Prajnan Das, Elizabeth Y Chiao, Yi-Qian Nancy You, Luisa Franzini, David R Lairson, Michael D Swartz, Sharon H Giordano, Scott B Cantor
OBJECTIVE: A comparative assessment of treatment alternatives for T1N0 anal canal cancer has never been conducted. We compared the outcomes associated with the treatment alternatives-chemoradiotherapy (CRT), radiotherapy (RT), and surgery or ablation techniques (surgery/ablation)-for T1N0 anal canal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registries linked with Medicare longitudinal data (SEER-Medicare database)...
October 17, 2016: American Journal of Clinical Oncology
John J B Anderson, David C Nieman
The Mediterranean diet is upheld in the 2015-2020 Dietary Guidelines as an example of an eating pattern that promotes good health, a healthy body weight, and disease prevention throughout the lifespan. The Mediterranean eating pattern is based on a variety of unprocessed plant foods including fruits, vegetables, whole grains, legumes, nuts, and seeds that are high in polyphenols. The majority of polyphenols arrive in the colon where bacteria degrade them into smaller phenolics that can be translocated via the portal vein to the liver...
October 14, 2016: Nutrients
Junichiro Hashimoto
Arterial structure and function change progressively with advancing age. Owing to long-lasting repetitive stretch with intermittent cardiac contraction, elastic fibers in the tunica media of large arteries gradually degenerate and are replaced by collagenous fibers. Such medial degeneration causes elastic arteries to stiffen and dilate. However, the speed of the vascular aging varies considerably among individuals; a discrepancy often exists between the chronological age of an individual and the biological age of his or her arteries...
September 2016: Journal of Hypertension
Shokei Kim-Mitsuyama
There is accumulating evidence that RAS inhibitors not only reduce blood pressure, but also exert pleiotropic effects, including a renoprotective effect, amelioration of insulin resistance, reduction in onset of diabetes, and suppression of cardiovascular remodelling,. However, the definite benefit of RAS inhibition in treatment of hypertension with CKD or DM is not conclusive. We previously performed the OlmeSartan and Calcium Antagonists Randomized (OSCAR) study comparing the preventive effect of high-dose ARB therapy versus ARB plus CCB combination therapy on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in 1164 Japanese elderly hypertensive patients with baseline type 2 diabetes and/or CVD (Am J Med (2012))...
September 2016: Journal of Hypertension
Suzanne Oparil
Heart disease, stroke, and kidney failure are leading causes of death worldwide, and hypertension is a significant risk factor for each. Hypertension is less common in women, compared to men, in those younger than 45 years of age. This trend is reversed in those 65 years and older. In the US between 2011-2014, the prevalence of hypertension in women and men by age group was 6% vs 8% (18-39 years), 30% vs 35% (40-59 years), and 67% vs 63% (60 years and over). Awareness, treatment, and control rates differ between genders with women being more aware of their diagnosis (85% vs 80%), more likely to take their medications (81% vs 71%) and more frequently having controlled hypertension (55% vs 49%)...
September 2016: Journal of Hypertension
Yi Shen, Sheng Zhang, Xulin Wang, Yuanyuan Wang, Jian Zhang, Gang Qin, Wenchao Li, Kun Ding, Lei Zhang, Feng Liang
BACKGROUND: Because whether hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection increases the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been a controversial topic, pair-wise and network meta-analyses of published literature were carried out to accurately evaluate the association between different phases of HBV infection and the risk of T2DM. METHODS: A comprehensive literature retrieval was conducted from the Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Chinese Database to identify epidemiological studies on the association between HBV infection and the risk of T2DM that were published from 1999 to 2015...
October 18, 2016: Liver International: Official Journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver
Qian Wang, Renato Polimanti, Henry R Kranzler, Lindsay A Farrer, Hongyu Zhao, Joel Gelernter
Schizophrenia (SZ) and HIV infection are serious disorders with a complex phenotypic relationship. Observational studies have described their comorbidity; their genetic correlation is not well studied. We performed extensive analysis in search of common genetic factors for SZ and HIV, and their relationship with risky sexual behavior (RSB). Summary statistics from genome-wide association studies of HIV infection and schizophrenia were obtained and 2379 European Americans were genotyped and assessed for RSB score...
October 17, 2016: Human Genetics
Fetch more papers »
Fetching more papers... Fetching...
Read by QxMD. Sign in or create an account to discover new knowledge that matter to you.
Remove bar
Read by QxMD icon Read

Search Tips

Use Boolean operators: AND/OR

diabetic AND foot
diabetes OR diabetic

Exclude a word using the 'minus' sign

Virchow -triad

Use Parentheses

water AND (cup OR glass)

Add an asterisk (*) at end of a word to include word stems

Neuro* will search for Neurology, Neuroscientist, Neurological, and so on

Use quotes to search for an exact phrase

"primary prevention of cancer"
(heart or cardiac or cardio*) AND arrest -"American Heart Association"