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Cardiovascular risk prediction

Kunal N Karmali, Donald M Lloyd-Jones, Joep van der Leeuw, David C Goff, Salim Yusuf, Alberto Zanchetti, Paul Glasziou, Rodney Jackson, Mark Woodward, Anthony Rodgers, Bruce C Neal, Eivind Berge, Koon Teo, Barry R Davis, John Chalmers, Carl Pepine, Kazem Rahimi, Johan Sundström
BACKGROUND: Clinical practice guidelines have traditionally recommended blood pressure treatment based primarily on blood pressure thresholds. In contrast, using predicted cardiovascular risk has been advocated as a more effective strategy to guide treatment decisions for cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention. We aimed to compare outcomes from a blood pressure-lowering treatment strategy based on predicted cardiovascular risk with one based on systolic blood pressure (SBP) level. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We used individual participant data from the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (BPLTTC) from 1995 to 2013...
March 2018: PLoS Medicine
Marcin Kubik, Alicja Dąbrowska-Kugacka, Ewa Lewicka, Ludmiła Daniłowicz-Szymanowicz, Grzegorz Raczak
Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is a unique inherited cardiomyopathy, characterized by an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events such as heart failure, arrhythmia or sudden cardiac death. Although in comparison to dilated cardiomyopathy, the number of clinical studies concerning LVNC is still small, it is quickly increasing, which reflects a huge effort of the cardiovascular society to develop data to improve understanding of this cardiomyopathy. However, the predictors of adverse outcomes in LVNC are not well established...
March 16, 2018: Advances in Clinical and Experimental Medicine: Official Organ Wroclaw Medical University
Floriana Caccamo, Simone Saltini, Enrico Carella, Roberto Carlon, Cristina Marogna, Vito Sava
Research on heart disease have found a strong and consistent evidence of association between some psychosocial risk factors, including depression, anxiety, self-efficacy, lack of social support and outcome of disease. Depression increases the risk of cardiac death and is highly predictive of reduced adherence to recommended treatments; anxiety appears to be linked to adverse cardiac outcomes. It was demonstrated that Cardiac Rehabilitation (CR) leads to substantial improvements and positive outcomes because combines the prescription of physical activity with the modification of risk factors and aims to reduce symptoms related to the disease and the risk of new cardiovascular events...
January 29, 2018: Monaldi Archives for Chest Disease, Archivio Monaldi Per le Malattie del Torace
Nicholas S Roetker, James S Pankow, Jan Bressler, Alanna C Morrison, Eric Boerwinkle
BACKGROUND: DNA methylation-based patterns of biological aging, known as epigenetic age acceleration, are predictive of all-cause mortality, but little is known about their association with cardiovascular disease (CVD). METHODS: We estimated 2 versions of epigenetic age acceleration (Horvath and Hannum) using whole-blood samples from 2543 blacks. Linear and Cox proportional hazards regression, respectively, were used to assess the association of age acceleration with carotid intima-media thickness (cross-sectionally) and incident cardiovascular events, including CVD mortality, myocardial infarction, fatal coronary heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, and heart failure, during a median 21-year follow-up...
March 2018: Circ Genom Precis Med
Jonathan R Weir-McCall, Liam Brown, Jennifer Summersgill, Piotr Talarczyk, Michael Bonnici-Mallia, Sook C Chin, Faisel Khan, Allan D Struthers, Frank Sullivan, Helen M Colhoun, Angela C Shore, Kunihiko Aizawa, Leif Groop, Jan Nilsson, John R Cockcroft, Carmel M McEniery, Ian B Wilkinson, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, J Graeme Houston
Current distance measurement techniques for pulse wave velocity (PWV) calculation are susceptible to intercenter variability. The aim of this study was to derive and validate a formula for this distance measurement. Based on carotid femoral distance in 1183 whole-body magnetic resonance angiograms, a formula was derived for calculating distance. This was compared with distance measurements in 128 whole-body magnetic resonance angiograms from a second study. The effects of recalculation of PWV using the new formula on association with risk factors, disease discrimination, and prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events were examined within 1242 participants from the multicenter SUMMIT study (Surrogate Markers of Micro- and Macrovascular Hard End-Points for Innovative Diabetes Tools) and 825 participants from the Caerphilly Prospective Study...
March 19, 2018: Hypertension
Jaideep Patel, Mahmoud Al Rifai, Maren T Scheuner, Steven Shea, Roger S Blumenthal, Khurram Nasir, Michael J Blaha, John W McEvoy
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether family history of coronary heart disease (FH) definitions differ in their association with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Participants who provided FH data from July 17, 2000, through February 24, 2004, were identified. Definitions of FH were any, premature, and Familial Risk Assessment (FRA). Outcomes included coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, peripheral artery disease, angina, and congestive heart failure...
March 16, 2018: Mayo Clinic Proceedings
George A Karpouzas, Joel Estis, Panteha Rezaeian, John Todd, Matthew J Budoff
Objectives: Patients with RA display greater occult coronary atherosclerosis burden and experience higher cardiovascular morbidity and mortality compared with controls. We here explored whether pro-inflammatory cytokines and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), a biomarker of myocardial injury, correlated with plaque burden and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in RA. Methods: We evaluated 150 patients with 64-slice coronary CT angiography. Coronary artery calcium, number of segments with plaque (segment involvement score), stenotic severity and plaque burden were assessed...
March 14, 2018: Rheumatology
Koon Teo, Salim Yusuf
The cardiovascular polypill or fixed dose combination pill, consisting of three, four or more drugs in a single tablet (or capsule), has been proposed as an effective and convenient therapy in both secondary and primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Each of the drugs in the combination has a documented ability to prevent CVD events. The combined effect has been estimated to reduce risk by 75% to 80%.Since the concept was introduced 15 years ago, several polypills are available and their effects on risk factors evaluated...
March 15, 2018: American Journal of Hypertension
Daniele Pastori, José Miguel Rivera-Caravaca, María Asunción Esteve-Pastor, Vanessa Roldán, Francisco Marín, Pasquale Pignatelli, Francesco Violi, Gregory Y H Lip
BACKGROUND: Two risk scores have been developed to predict composite outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF): the 2MACE and TIMI-AF scores. The aim of this study was to compare the predictive ability of these scores in 2 separate warfarin-treated cohorts (one 'real world', one clinical trial) of AF patients.Methods and Results:The 2MACE and TIMI-AF scores were calculated in the 'real-world' ATHERO-AF cohort (n=907), and in the randomized controlled AMADEUS trial (n=2,265). Endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), net clinical outcomes (NCO) and a combination of them, namely "clinically relevant events" (CREs)...
March 16, 2018: Circulation Journal: Official Journal of the Japanese Circulation Society
Masanari Kuwabara, Claudio Borghi, Arrigo F G Cicero, Ichiro Hisatome, Koichiro Niwa, Minoru Ohno, Richard J Johnson, Miguel A Lanaspa
BACKGROUND: High serum uric acid (SUA) is associated with the dyslipidemia, but whether hyperuricemia predicts an increase in serum low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol is unknown. This study is to evaluate whether an elevated SUA predicts the development of high LDL cholesterol as well as hypertriglyceridemia. METHODS: This is a retrospective 5-year cohort study of 6476 healthy Japanese adults (age, 45.7 ± 10.1 years; 2.243 men) who underwent health examinations at 2004 and were reevaluated in 2009 at St...
March 13, 2018: International Journal of Cardiology
Andrea Igoren Guaricci, Pier Giorgio Masci, Valentina Lorenzoni, Jurg Schwitter, Gianluca Pontone
BACKGROUND: Implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) represents the most valuable sudden cardiac death (SCD) prophylactic strategy in patients with heart failure and severely reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). To date, it is still unknown how to integrate the information given by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) into clinical and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) work-up of non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) and ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) patients for accurate risk stratification...
March 11, 2018: International Journal of Cardiology
Matthew J Gurka, Stephanie L Filipp, Mark D DeBoer
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes remain significant public health concerns. Targeting of prevention efforts by geographical location has been suggested by the Institute of Medicine to coincide with the presence of area-based risk. The metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a stronger risk factor than is obesity for the prediction of future CVD and diabetes, yet its prevalence has not previously been described geographically. Our objective is to determine geographical variation in the prevalence of obesity, MetS, and diabetes among US adults...
March 13, 2018: Nutrition & Diabetes
Patrick J Hensley, Jeffrey Goodwin, Daniel L Davenport, Stephen E Strup, Andrew James
BACKGROUND: Radical cystectomy (RC) is delayed in a subset of patients who respond poorly to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). The present study investigated the clinicopathologic characteristics predicting extravesical disease at RC and the factors associated with NAC tolerability to improve patient selection and the sequence of definitive therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with cT2 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder who underwent NAC were stratified by the final pathologic stage: complete (ypT0N0), partial (≤ pT2), and nonresponse (> pT2 and/or N+)...
February 22, 2018: Clinical Genitourinary Cancer
Mika Hilvo, Tuire Salonurmi, Aki S Havulinna, Dimple Kauhanen, Eva Ringdal Pedersen, Grethe S Tell, Klaus Meyer, Anna-Maria Teeriniemi, Tiina Laatikainen, Pekka Jousilahti, Markku J Savolainen, Ottar Nygård, Veikko Salomaa, Reijo Laaksonen
AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Ceramide lipids have a role in the development of insulin resistance, diabetes and risk of cardiovascular disease. Here we investigated four ceramides and their ratios to find the best predictors of incident diabetes. METHODS: A validated mass-spectrometric method was applied to measure Cer(d18:1/16:0), Cer(d18:1/18:0), Cer(d18:1/24:0) and Cer(d18:1/24:1) from serum or plasma samples. These ceramides were analysed in a population-based risk factor study (FINRISK 2002, n = 8045), in a cohort of participants undergoing elective coronary angiography for suspected stable angina pectoris (Western Norway Coronary Angiography Cohort [WECAC], n = 3344) and in an intervention trial investigating improved methods of lifestyle modification for individuals at high risk of the metabolic syndrome (Prevent Metabolic Syndrome [PrevMetSyn], n = 371)...
March 15, 2018: Diabetologia
Ayesha Fawad, Andreas Bergmann, Joachim Struck, Peter M Nilsson, Marju Orho-Melander, Olle Melander
Context: The gut hormone neurotensin promotes fat absorption, diet-induced weight gain and liver steatosis. Its stable precursor-hormone fragment "proneurotensin" predicts cardiometabolic disease in middle-aged populations, especially in women. Objective: To test if proneurotensin predicts cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes development in an elderly population and whether there are gender differences in this respect. Design, Setting and Participants: Fasting proneurotensin was measured in plasma from 4804 participants (mean age 69±6 years) of the Malmö Preventive Project (MPP) and subjects were followed up for development of CVD and diabetes during 5...
March 13, 2018: Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism
Yuna Horiuchi, Shao-Jui Lai, Azusa Yamazaki, Ayaka Nakamura, Ryunosuke Ohkawa, Kouji Yano, Takahiro Kameda, Shigeo Okubo, Shitsuko Shimano, Michio Hagihara, Shuji Tohda, Minoru Tozuka
Estimation of the function as well as the amount of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) is required to predict the risk of cardiovascular disease development. Cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC) is the key metric for determining the anti-atherosclerotic function of HDL. However, the assay methods currently used to calculate CEC are not ideal for clinical use as they require the culture of cells. In the present study, we developed a novel CEC assay using immobilized liposome-bound gel beads (ILGs), containing fluorescently labelled cholesterol, as a substitute for cultured cells...
March 15, 2018: Bioscience Reports
Wendy A Davis, David G Bruce, Milan Dragovic, Timothy M E Davis, Sergio E Starkstein
BACKGROUND: Previous research using latent class analysis (LCA) identified classes of people with type 2 diabetes and specific profiles of depression and anxiety. Since LCA-derived anxious depression strongly predicts cardiovascular outcomes and mortality but cannot be applied to individuals, we developed a validated combined depression-anxiety metric, the Diabetes Anxiety Depression Scale (DADS), for potential clinical application in people with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: 1,337 participants with type 2 diabetes from the observational community-based Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II completed the Patient Health Questionnaire 9-item version (PHQ-9) to assess symptoms of depression, and the Generalised Anxiety Disorder Scale (GADS) to assess symptoms of anxiety...
2018: PloS One
Marc A Furrer, Antoni Vilaseca, Renato B Corradi, Silvan Boxler, George N Thalmann, Daniel P Nguyen
BACKGROUND: A growing number of men undergo repeat biopsies prior to radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer. However, the long-term impact of repeat biopsies on functional outcomes in this patient population remains unelucidated. Thus, we compared functional outcomes between patients who underwent single biopsy versus repeat biopsies before radical prostatectomy. METHODS: From 1996 to 2015, 1015 consecutive patients underwent radical prostatectomy, and subsequently had urinary continence and erectile function assessed for >2 years follow-up...
March 14, 2018: Prostate
Johannes Krämer, Felix Kreuzer, Michael Kaestner, Peter Bride, Fabian von Scheidt, Jannos Siaplaouras, Heiner Latus, Dietmar Schranz, Christian Apitz
Right ventricular (RV) hypertrophy is regarded as the adaptation on chronic RV pressure load in pulmonary hypertension. As the RV Sokolow-Lyon index (RVSLI) is an electrocardiographic marker of RV hypertrophy, we hypothesized that RVSLI might be able to reflect RV pressure load. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to characterize the diagnostic impact of the RVSLI in children with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) in order to assess disease severity and to evaluate its value for the prediction of worse outcome...
March 14, 2018: Pediatric Cardiology
Rebecca R Vanderpool, Melissa Saul, Mehdi Nouraie, Mark T Gladwin, Marc A Simon
Importance: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is highly prevalent, yet there are no specific therapies, possibly due to phenotypic heterogeneity. The development of pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with HFpEF is considered a high-risk phenotype in need of targeted therapies, but there have been limited hemodynamic and outcomes data. Objective: To identify the hemodynamic characteristics and outcomes of PH-HFpEF. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study of participants who had a right heart catheterization from January 2005 to September 2012 (median [interquartile range] follow-up time, 1578 [554-2513] days) were analyzed...
March 14, 2018: JAMA Cardiology
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