Alexander Pate, Matthew Sperrin, Richard D Riley, Niels Peek, Tjeerd Van Staa, Jamie C Sergeant, Mamas A Mamas, Gregory Y H Lip, Martin O'Flaherty, Michael Barrowman, Iain Buchan, Glen P Martin
INTRODUCTION: There is currently no guidance on how to assess the calibration of multistate models used for risk prediction. We introduce several techniques that can be used to produce calibration plots for the transition probabilities of a multistate model, before assessing their performance in the presence of random and independent censoring through a simulation. METHODS: We studied pseudo-values based on the Aalen-Johansen estimator, binary logistic regression with inverse probability of censoring weights (BLR-IPCW), and multinomial logistic regression with inverse probability of censoring weights (MLR-IPCW)...
May 8, 2024: Statistics in Medicine