Samuel Lüthi, Christopher Fairless, Erich M Fischer, Noah Scovronick, Ben Armstrong, Micheline De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Yue Leon Guo, Yuming Guo, Yasushi Honda, Veronika Huber, Jan Kyselý, Eric Lavigne, Dominic Royé, Niilo Ryti, Susana Silva, Aleš Urban, Antonio Gasparrini, David N Bresch, Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera
Heat-related mortality has been identified as one of the key climate extremes posing a risk to human health. Current research focuses largely on how heat mortality increases with mean global temperature rise, but it is unclear how much climate change will increase the frequency and severity of extreme summer seasons with high impact on human health. In this probabilistic analysis, we combined empirical heat-mortality relationships for 748 locations from 47 countries with climate model large ensemble data to identify probable past and future highly impactful summer seasons...
August 24, 2023: Nature Communications