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Clinical prediction rule

Anita Ww Lim, Rebecca Landy, Alejandra Castanon, Antony Hollingworth, Willie Hamilton, Nick Dudding, Peter Sasieni
BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer in young women presents a diagnostic challenge because gynaecological symptoms are common but underlying disease is rare. AIM: To explore the potential for using cytology as a diagnostic aid for cervical cancer in young women. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective review of primary care records and cytology data from the national cervical screening database and national audit of cervical cancers. METHOD: Four datasets of women aged 20-29 years in England were examined: primary care records and national screening data from an in-depth study of cervical cancers; cytology from the national audit of cervical cancers; whole-population cytology from the national screening database; and general-population primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink...
October 24, 2016: British Journal of General Practice: the Journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners
Marc Aerts, Girma Minalu, Stefan Bösner, Frank Buntinx, Bernard Burnand, Jörg Haasenritter, Lilli Herzig, J André Knottnerus, Staffan Nilsson, Walter Renier, Carol Sox, Harold Sox, Norbert Donner-Banzhoff
OBJECTIVE: To construct a clinical prediction rule for coronary artery disease (CAD) presenting with chest pain in primary care. STUDY DESIGN: Meta-Analysis using 3099 patients from 5 studies. To identify candidate predictors, we used random forest trees, multiple imputation of missing values and logistic regression within individual studies. To generate a prediction rule on the pooled data, we applied a regression model that took account of the differing standard data sets collected by the 5 studies...
October 20, 2016: Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Sam Schulman
During the past 7 years, results from phase III trials comparing nonvitamin antagonist K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) or with placebo, including 34,900 patients, have been published. Recent guidelines have been updated and now suggest treatment with NOACs rather than with VKA. Other updates in the guidelines concern the initial thrombolytic treatment for selected patients with deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism as well as the possibility of withholding anticoagulation for minimal venous thromboembolism...
October 20, 2016: Seminars in Thrombosis and Hemostasis
César Alameda, Ángel Carlos Matía, Verónica Casado
No abstract text is available yet for this article.
October 20, 2016: NPJ Primary Care Respiratory Medicine
Chiara Tani, Leopoldo Trieste, Valentina Lorenzoni, Sara Cannizzo, Giuseppe Turchetti, Marta Mosca
Recent advances in health information technologies (HIT) in systemic lupus erythematosus have included electronic databases and registries, computerised clinical charts for patient monitoring, computerised diagnostic tools, computerised prediction rules and, more recently, disease-specific applications for mobile devices for physicians, health care professionals, and patients. Traditionally, HIT development has been oriented primarily to physicians and public administrators. However, more recent development of patient-centered Apps could improve communication and empower patients in the daily management of their disease...
September 2016: Clinical and Experimental Rheumatology
Jeremy D Brown, Scott Chapman, Patricia E Ferguson
OBJECTIVE: The objective of the present study is to determine whether a predictive rule could safely reduce the number of negative blood cultures collected in an Australian ED and to assess the clinical impact of positive results from blood cultures taken in the ED. METHODS: All positive blood cultures taken in the ED at a single facility were retrospectively identified for the calendar year 2012. Clinically significant bacteraemia episodes were assessed against a predictive rule using major and minor clinical and laboratory criteria gathered from medical records and pathology databases, and compared with a randomly generated sample of ED patient episode with negative blood cultures...
October 18, 2016: Emergency Medicine Australasia: EMA
P Seeman
Although all current antipsychotics act by interfering with the action of dopamine at dopamine D2 receptors, two recent reports showed that 800 to 1000 mg of cannabidiol per day alleviated the signs and symptoms of schizophrenia, although cannabidiol is not known to act on dopamine receptors. Because these recent clinical findings may indicate an important exception to the general rule that all antipsychotics interfere with dopamine at dopamine D2 receptors, the present study examined whether cannabidiol acted directly on D2 receptors, using tritiated domperidone to label rat brain striatal D2 receptors...
October 18, 2016: Translational Psychiatry
Peter Witters, Dominic Hughes, Palaniswamy Karthikeyan, Somashekara Ramakrishna, Mark Davenport, Anil Dhawan, Tassos Grammatikopoulos
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Variceal haemorrhage can be a life-threatening complication of chronic liver disease in children. There is limited evidence about the optimal prophylactic management and selection criteria of children who will benefit from upper gastrointestinal endoscopy. METHODS: Children presenting in our centre with suspected portal hypertension or gastrointestinal bleeding and undergoing their first oesophagogastroduodenoscopy between 2005-2012 were included...
October 4, 2016: Journal of Pediatric Gastroenterology and Nutrition
Susanna Sainio, Kaija Javela, Jarno Tuimala, Katri Haimila
Lack of reliable laboratory parameters is the main challenge in the management of fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia (FNAIT). Despite the long-known association between the HLA-DRB3*01:01 allele and human platelet antigen 1a (HPA-1a) alloimmunisation, maternal human leucocyte antigen (HLA) typing has been of little clinical value. Recently, other DRB3 allele variants have been suggested to predict the severity of FNAIT. In this nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study, we performed extensive HLA typing of 96 women, accounting for 87% of our cohort of 110 families with confirmed or possible HPA-1a-immunisation...
October 17, 2016: British Journal of Haematology
Joaquín Valle Alonso, Francisco Javier Fonseca Del Pozo, Manuel Vaquero Álvarez, Elisa Lopera Lopera, Marisol Garcia Segura, Ricardo García Arévalo
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To compare two scales for assessment of patients with mild head injury. The Canadian CT Head Rule (CCHR) and New Orleans Criteria (NOC) according to their diagnostic accuracy in patients attending an emergency department, and to determine the most important predictive values. METHOD: Cross-sectional study in a first-level Hospital in the period of January 2011 to January 2013. Patients with mild head injury criteria were included. All the patients underwent a computed tomography (CT) of the head as part of internal protocol and the CCHR and NOC criteria were recorded for each patient...
October 10, 2016: Medicina Clínica
Rafel Ramos, Xavier Albert, Joan Sala, Maria Garcia-Gil, Roberto Elosua, Jaume Marrugat, Anna Ponjoan, María Grau, Manel Morales, Antoni Rubió, Pedro Ortuño, Lia Alves-Cabratosa, Ruth Martí-Lluch
BACKGROUND: Diagnosis of unrecognized myocardial infarction (UMI) remains an open question in epidemiological and clinical studies, inhibiting effective secondary prevention of myocardial infarction. We aimed to determine the prevalence and incidence of Q-wave UMI in asymptomatic individuals aged 35 to 74years, and to ascertain the positive predictive value (PPV) of asymptomatic Q-wave to diagnose UMI. METHODS: Two population-based cross-sectional studies were conducted, in 2000 (with 10-year follow-up) and in 2005...
October 5, 2016: International Journal of Cardiology
J C Hill, E K Afolabi, M Lewis, K M Dunn, E Roddy, D A van der Windt, N E Foster
OBJECTIVES: The STarT Back Tool has good predictive performance for non-specific low back pain in primary care. We therefore aimed to investigate whether a modified STarT Back Tool predicted outcome with a broader group of musculoskeletal patients, and assessed the consequences of using existing risk-group cut-points across different pain regions. SETTING: Secondary analysis of prospective data from 2 cohorts: (1) outpatient musculoskeletal physiotherapy services (PhysioDirect trial n=1887) and (2) musculoskeletal primary-secondary care interface services (SAMBA study n=1082)...
October 14, 2016: BMJ Open
Alvin Rajkomar, Joanne Wing Lan Yim, Kevin Grumbach, Ami Parekh
BACKGROUND: Characterizing patient complexity using granular electronic health record (EHR) data regularly available to health systems is necessary to optimize primary care processes at scale. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the utilization patterns of primary care patients and create weighted panel sizes for providers based on work required to care for patients with different patterns. METHODS: We used EHR data over a 2-year period from patients empaneled to primary care clinicians in a single academic health system, including their in-person encounter history and virtual encounters such as telephonic visits, electronic messaging, and care coordination with specialists...
October 14, 2016: JMIR Medical Informatics
Emmanuelle Berthelot, David Montani, Vincent Algalarrondo, Céline Dreyfus, Raed Rifai, Anouar Benmalek, Xavier Jais, Amir Bouchachi, Laurent Savale, Gerald Simonneau, Denis Chemla, Marc Humbert, Olivier Sitbon, Patrick Assayag
BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a frequent cause of pulmonary hypertension (PH) that is not easy to differentiate from precapillary PH. We aimed to determine whether the characteristic features of the patients may help differentiate between HFpEF and precapillary-PH. METHODS AND RESULTS: Clinical and echocardiographic parameters were analyzed in 156 patients referred to our PH referral center. Right heart catheterization identified 78 PH-HFpEF patients and 78 precapillary-PH...
October 11, 2016: Journal of Cardiac Failure
E Tan, F Lin, L Sheck, P Salmon, S Ng
PURPOSE: To derive a decision rule for predicting surgical complexity in periorbital basal cell carcinoma (pBCC). DESIGN: Prospective, cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Patients referred to an oculoplastic service for excision of pBCC from September 2010 to November 2015 METHODS: This study was conducted at two centres in New Zealand from September 2010 to November 2015. Baseline demographic information, and an initial assessment of operative complexity (a four-point grading scale) were collected...
October 14, 2016: Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology: JEADV
Susana Garcia-Gutierrez, José Maria Quintana, Ane Antón-Ladislao, Maria Soledad Gallardo, Esther Pulido, Irene Rilo, Elena Zubillaga, Miren Morillas, José Juan Onaindia, Nekane Murga, Ricardo Palenzuela, José González Ruiz
Our aims were to create and validate a clinical decision rule to assess severity in acute heart failure. We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients with symptoms of acute heart failure who attended the emergency departments (EDs) of three hospitals between April 2011 and April 2013. The following data were collected on arrival to or during the stay in the ED: baseline severity of symptoms; presence of decompensated comorbidities; number of hospital admissions/visits to EDs for acute heart failure during the previous 24 months; triggers of the exacerbation; clinical signs and symptoms; results of ancillary tests requested in the ED; treatments prescribed; and response to the initial treatment in the ED...
October 11, 2016: Internal and Emergency Medicine
Wen-Wai Yim, Sharon W Kwan, Meliha Yetisgen
BACKGROUND: Anaphoric references occur ubiquitously in clinical narrative text. However, the problem, still very much an open challenge, is typically less aggressively focused on in clinical text domain applications. Furthermore, existing research on reference resolution is often conducted disjointly from real-world motivating tasks. OBJECTIVE: In this paper, we present our machine-learning system that automatically performs reference resolution and a rule-based system to extract tumor characteristics, with component-based and end-to-end evaluations...
October 8, 2016: Journal of Biomedical Informatics
L M Van der Pol, A T A Mairuhu, C Tromeur, F Couturaud, M V Huisman, F A Klok
Because pregnant women have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and at the same time normal pregnancy is associated with symptoms, mimicking those present in the setting of acute pulmonary embolism (PE), the latter diagnosis is frequently suspected in this patient category. Since imaging tests expose both mother and foetus to ionizing radiation, the ability to rule out PE based on non-radiological diagnostic tests is of paramount importance. However, clinical decision rules have only been scarcely evaluated in the pregnant population with suspected PE, while D-dimer levels lose diagnostic accuracy due to a physiological increase during normal pregnancy...
September 29, 2016: Blood Reviews
Christophe Destrieux, Louis Marie Terrier, Frédéric Andersson, Scott A Love, Jean-Philippe Cottier, Henri Duvernoy, Stéphane Velut, Kevin Janot, Ilyess Zemmoura
The precise sulcogyral localization of cortical lesions is mandatory to improve communication between practitioners and to predict and prevent post-operative deficits. This process, which assumes a good knowledge of the cortex anatomy and a systematic analysis of images, is, nevertheless, sometimes neglected in the neurological and neurosurgical training. This didactic paper proposes a brief overview of the sulcogyral anatomy, using conventional MR-slices, and also reconstructions of the cortical surface after a more or less extended inflation process...
October 5, 2016: Brain Structure & Function
Elisa Piovano, Camilla Cavallero, Luca Fuso, Elsa Viora, Annamaria Ferrero, Gianluca Gregori, Caterina Grillo, Chiara Macchi, Giulio Mengozzi, Marco Mitidieri, Eva Pagano, Paolo Zola
BACKGROUND: Transvaginal ultrasonography (TVS) and serum biomarkers are widely used in clinical practice to triage adnexal masses, but the effectiveness of current biomarkers is quite weak. OBJECTIVES: To determine the best way to diagnose the patients with adnexal masses, in terms of diagnostic accuracy and economic costs, among four triage strategies: International Ovarian Tumor Analysis group's simple rules (SR) for the interpretation of TVS with the addition of subjective assessment (SA) by an experienced ultrasound operator only when TVS results are inconclusive (hereafter defined as SR±SA), SR±SA+CA125, SR±SA+HE4, and SR±SA+ROMA...
October 5, 2016: Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology
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