Risk prediction

Accounting for intraspecific and interspecific competition when assessing the effects of chemical and nonchemical stressors is an important uncertainty in ecological risk assessments. We developed novel projection of interspecific competition (PIC) matrices that allow for analysis of population dynamics of two or more species exposed to a given stressor(s) that compete for shared resources within a landscape. We demonstrate the application of PIC matrices to investigate the population dynamics of two hypothetical fish species that compete with one another and have differences in net reproductive rate and intrinsic rate of population increase...

Distress intolerance-a broad band dispositional variable has been shown to serve as a transdiagnostic risk factor for psychopathology. We investigated the predictive validity of the physical and emotional subscales of the Distress Tolerance Inventory (DTI) on behavioral responding (immersion time) and moment-to-moment subjective distress ratings to the Cold-Pressor Test. College students ( N  = 134) completed self-report questionnaires indexing physical and emotional distress tolerance and then completed a cold pressor challenge...

INTRODUCTION: Peritoneal carcinomatosis is considered a late-stage manifestation of neoplastic diseases. Cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS-HIPEC) can be an effective treatment for these patients. However, the procedure is associated with significant morbidity. Our aim was to develop a machine learning model to predict the probability of achieving textbook outcome (TO) after CRS-HIPEC using only preoperatively known variables. METHODS: Adult patients with peritoneal carcinomatosis and who underwent CRS-HIPEC were included from a large, single-center, prospectively maintained dataset (2001-2020)...

BACKGROUND: Tumor staging plays a pivotal role in melanoma management, where the depth of tumor invasion has been traditionally used as the cornerstone of staging. Paradoxically, the tumor diameter has not been integrated into the staging system. The aim of this study is to elucidate the clinical implications and prognostic value of tumor diameter in cutaneous melanoma, with a particular emphasis on the acral-melanoma predominant East Asian population, thus potentially enriching the clinical evaluation and treatment strategies for cutaneous melanoma...

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of a novel post-match muscle pain map, named Muscle Pain Code (MPC), with the risk of subsequent time-loss muscle injury in a cohort of professional football (soccer) players. METHODS: The MPC classifies pain in four codes: code 0, ' no pain ;' code 1, ' generalized muscle pain ;' code 2, ' diffused site muscle pain ;' and code 3, ' specific site muscle pain .' Over four consecutive seasons, MPC was collected on the second post-match day and players were followed for occurrence of time-loss muscle injury over the next five days...

This study employs time series forecasting, specifically Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average, to predict the radiological impact of uranium mining in Mika, Nigeria. By utilizing meteorological data to model the dispersion of radioactive emissions to receptors, allowing for a comprehensive assessment of potential health and environmental consequences. The study observed a slight change in the Total Effective Dose Equivalent (TEDE) at the nearest residence northeast receptor between the actual and the forecasted data...

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular assist devices (LVAD) improve survival for patients with cardiac failure, but LVAD specific infections (VSI) remain a challenge with poorly understood predictive risk factors. Furthermore, the indications and utility of escalating medical treatment to surgical debridement and potential flap reconstruction are not well-characterized. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective review of consecutive patients undergoing primary LVAD implantation at a tertiary academic center was performed...

OBJECTIVE: The pathological features of immune-mediated necrotizing myopathy (IMNM) are dominated by the infiltration of macrophages. We aimed to perform a histopathologic semiquantitative analysis to investigate the relationship between macrophage markers and prognosis. METHODS: Semiquantitative analysis of histologic features was performed in 62 samples of IMNM. Independent risk factors were identified through univariate and multivariate regression analysis. Cluster analysis was performed using the partitioning around the medoids (PAM) method...

Despite evidence demonstrating the risks of developing diabetes mellitus because of SARS-CoV-2, there is, however, insufficient scientific data available to elucidate the relationship between diabetes mellitus and COVID-19. Research indicates that SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with persistent damage to organ systems due to the systemic inflammatory response. Since COVID-19 is known to induce these conditions, further investigation is necessary to fully understand its long-term effects on human health. Consequently, it is essential to consider the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic when predicting the prevalence of diabetes mellitus in the future, especially since the incidence of diabetes mellitus was already on the rise before the pandemic...

Despite advancements in utilizing genetic markers to enhance acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) outcome prediction, significant disease heterogeneity persists, hindering clinical management. To refine survival predictions, we assessed the transcriptome of non-acute promyelocytic leukaemia chemotherapy-treated AML patients from five cohorts (n = 975). This led to the identification of a 4-gene prognostic index (4-PI) comprising CYP2E1, DHCR7, IL2RA and SQLE. The 4-PI effectively stratified patients into risk categories, with the high 4-PI group exhibiting TP53 mutations and cholesterol biosynthesis signatures...

Objective: To explore the relationship between changes in neurological deficit severity and the occurrence of adverse cardiac events in elderly patients with hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods: Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of NIHSS scores for adverse cardiac events. Results: There were significant differences between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that advanced age, high NIHSS score, large intracerebral hemorrhage volume, and high CK level were independent risk factors for adverse cardiac events in elderly patients with hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (P < 0...

BACKGROUND: Advances in blood biomarker discovery have enabled the improved diagnosis and prognosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Most branched-chain amino acids, except isoleucine (Ile), are correlated with both mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and AD. Therefore, this study investigated the association between serum Ile levels and MCI/AD. METHODS: This study stratified 700 participants from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database into four diagnostic groups: cognitively normal, stable MCI, progressive MCI, and AD...

BACKGROUND: We aimed to establish a novel model using a radiomics analysis of magnetic resonance (MR) images for predicting osteoporosis. PURPOSE: To investigate the effectiveness of a radiomics approach utilizing magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the lumbar spine in identifying osteoporosis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, a total of 291 patients who underwent MRI were analyzed. Radiomics features were extracted from the MRI scans of all 1455 lumbar vertebrae, and build the radiomics model based on T2-weighted (T2W), T1-weighted (T1W), and T2W + T1W imaging...

Comparisons of plant traits between native and invasive congeners are useful approaches for identifying characteristics that promote invasiveness. We compared germination patterns and seedling growth of locally sympatric populations of native Mimosa himalayana and two varieties of invasive M. diplotricha (var. diplotricha and var. inermis ) growing in southeastern Nepal. Seeds were germinated under a 12-h photoperiod or complete dark, low (25/15°C day/night) and high (30/20°C) temperatures, different water stress levels (0, -0...

BACKGROUND: The status of the sentinel lymph nodes (SLNs) was an important prognostic factor in varies cancers. A one-step nucleic acid amplification (OSNA) assay, a molecular-based whole-node analysis method based on CK19 mRNA copy number, was developed to diagnose lymph node metastases. We aimed to evaluate the value of OSNA for the diagnosis of sentinel lymph node metastasis in CK19 positive cancers. CK19 mRNA and protein expression for pan-caner analysis were obtained from TCGA and the Human protein atlas database...

INTRODUCTION: An increasing number of cohort studies have shown a correlation between serum bilirubin and tumors, but no definitive causal relationship has been established between serum bilirubin and hematological malignancies.Therefore, the aim of the present study was to assess the causal relationship of serum bilirubin, including total bilirubin (TBIL) and direct bilirubin (DBIL), with hematological malignancies, including leukemia, lymphoma, and myeloma. METHODS: We used a genome-wide association study (GWAS) collection of TBIL, DBIL, and hematological malignancies data...

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Early neurological deterioration (END) occurs in up to one-third of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and associated with poor outcome. The role of serum bilirubin in END remains controversial. This study aims to investigate the association of total bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL) and indirect bilirubin (IBIL) with END. METHODS: This study was a cross-sectional retrospective study with 344 AIS patients enrolled. We retrospectively reviewed consecutive AIS patients with END through a medical record retrieval system and enrolled patients as control randomly from the AIS patients without END at the same period...

BACKGROUND: Mortality due to immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) remains significant. Predicting mortality risk may potentially help individualize treatment. The French Thrombotic Microangiopathy (TMA) Reference Score has not been externally validated in the United States. Recent advances in machine learning technology can help analyze large numbers of variables with complex interactions for the development of prediction models. OBJECTIVES: To validate the French TMA Reference Score in the United States Thrombotic Microangiopathy (USTMA) iTTP database and subsequently develop a novel mortality prediction tool, the USTMA TTP Mortality Index...

PURPOSE: The United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE) and Comprehensive Osteopathic Medical Licensing Examination (COMLEX) scores are standard methods used to determine residency candidates' medical knowledge. The authors were interested in using the USMLE and COMLEX part 2 scores in our emergency medicine (EM) residency program to identify at-risk residents who may have difficulty on the in-training exam (ITE) and to determine the cutoff values under which an intern could be given an individualized study plan to ensure medical knowledge competency...

Human ageing, along with the ageing of conventional model organisms, is depicted as a continuous and progressive decline of biological capabilities accompanied by an exponentially increasing mortality risk. However, not all organisms experience ageing identically and our understanding of the phenomenon is coloured by human-centric views. Ageing is multifaceted and influences a diverse range of species in varying ways. Some undergo swift declines post-reproduction, while others exhibit insubstantial changes throughout their existence...