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Risk Prediction model

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https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28432935/accelerometry-based-assessment-and-detection-of-early-signs-of-balance-deficits
#1
Heidi Similä, Milla Immonen, Miikka Ermes
Falls are the cause for more than half of the injury-related hospitalizations among older people. Accurate assessment of individuals' fall risk could enable targeted interventions to reduce the risk. This paper presents a novel method for using wearable accelerometers to detect early signs of deficits in balance from gait. Gait acceleration data were analyzed from 35 healthy female participants (73.86±5.40 years). The data were collected with waist-mounted accelerometer and the participants performed three supervised balance tests: Berg Balance Scale (BBS), Timed-Up-and-Go (TUG) and 4m walk...
April 13, 2017: Computers in Biology and Medicine
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28432897/hba1c-variability-in-type-2-diabetes-is-associated-with-the-occurrence-of-new-onset-albuminuria-within-three-years
#2
Sreemanee Raaj Dorajoo, Joceline Shi Ling Ng, Jessica Hui Fen Goh, Su Chi Lim, Chun Wei Yap, Alexandre Chan, Joyce Yu Chia Lee
AIMS: To evaluate the association between HbA1c coefficient of variation (HbA1c-CV) and 3-year new-onset albuminuria risk. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study involving 716 normoalbuminuric type 2 diabetes patients was conducted between 2010 and 2014. HbA1c-CV was used to categorize patients into low, moderate or high variability groups. Multivariate logistic models were constructed and validated. Integrated discrimination (IDI) and net reclassification (NRI) improvement indices were used to quantify the added predictive value of HbA1c-CV...
February 14, 2017: Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28432319/diabetic-retinopathy-and-clinical-parameters-favoring-the-presence-of-diabetic-nephropathy-could-predict-renal-outcome-in-patients-with-diabetic-kidney-disease
#3
Chi-Chih Hung, Hugo You-Hsien Lin, Daw-Yang Hwang, I-Ching Kuo, Yi-Wen Chiu, Lee-Moay Lim, Shang-Jyh Hwang, Hung-Chun Chen
Diabetes duration, diabetic retinopathy (DR), and a diagnostic model have been proposed as clinical parameters favoring the presence of diabetic nephropathy (DN) in biopsied patients with diabetic kidney disease. DN, compared with non-diabetic renal disease, had poorer renal outcomes. We tested whether these clinical parameters favoring DN are associated with poorer renal outcomes in non-biopsied patients. In this study, 1330 patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease stages 1-4 were included and divided according to diabetes mellitus (DM) duration >8 years, DR, or a diagnostic model for DN...
April 21, 2017: Scientific Reports
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28432158/risk-score-for-cardiac-surgery-in-active-left-sided-infective-endocarditis
#4
Carmen Olmos, Isidre Vilacosta, Gilbert Habib, Luis Maroto, Cristina Fernández, Javier López, Cristina Sarriá, Erwan Salaun, Salvatore Di Stefano, Manuel Carnero, Sandrine Hubert, Carlos Ferrera, Gabriela Tirado, Afonso Freitas-Ferraz, Carmen Sáez, Javier Cobiella, Juan Bustamante-Munguira, Cristina Sánchez-Enrique, Pablo Elpidio García-Granja, Cecile Lavoute, Benjamin Obadia, David Vivas, Ángela Gutiérrez, José Alberto San Román
OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a calculator to predict the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with active infective endocarditis (IE) undergoing cardiac surgery. METHODS: Thousand two hundred and ninety-nine consecutive patients with IE were prospectively recruited (1996-2014) and retrospectively analysed. Left-sided patients who underwent cardiac surgery (n=671) form our study population and were randomised into development (n=424) and validation (n=247) samples...
April 21, 2017: Heart: Official Journal of the British Cardiac Society
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431862/application-of-the-cdc-ebolaresponse-modeling-tool-to-disease-predictions
#5
Robert H Gaffey, Cécile Viboud
Model-based predictions were critical in eliciting a vigorous international public health response to the 2014 Ebola Virus Disease outbreak in West Africa. Here, we describe the performances of an extension of the CDC-initiated EbolaResponse Modeling tool to the Ebola Forecasting Challenge, which offered a controlled environment for epidemiological predictions. In the EbolaResponse tool, transmission risks and proportions of population affected by interventions were fitted to data via least square fitting. Prediction performances were evaluated for 5 prediction time points of 4 synthetic outbreaks...
March 10, 2017: Epidemics
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431808/a-practical-standardized-composite-nutrition-score-based-on-lean-tissue-index-application-in-nutrition-screening-and-prediction-of-outcome-in-hemodialysis-population
#6
Huan-Sheng Chen, Chun-Ting Cheng, Chun-Cheng Hou, Hung-Hsiang Liou, Cheng-Tsung Chang, Chun-Ju Lin, Tsai-Kun Wu, Chang-Hsu Chen, Paik-Seong Lim
OBJECTIVE: Rapid screening and monitoring of nutritional status is mandatory in hemodialysis population because of the increasingly encountered nutritional problems. Considering the limitations of previous composite nutrition scores applied in this population, we tried to develop a standardized composite nutrition score (SCNS) using low lean tissue index as a marker of protein wasting to facilitate clinical screening and monitoring and to predict outcome. DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort used 2 databases of dialysis populations from Taiwan between 2011 and 2014...
April 18, 2017: Journal of Renal Nutrition
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431800/genetic-predictors-of-antipsychotic-response-to-lurasidone-identified-in-a-genome-wide-association-study-and-by-schizophrenia-risk-genes
#7
Jiang Li, Akane Yoshikawa, Mark D Brennan, Timothy L Ramsey, Herbert Y Meltzer
Biomarkers which predict response to atypical antipsychotic drugs (AAPDs) increases their benefit/risk ratio. We sought to identify common variants in genes which predict response to lurasidone, an AAPD, by associating genome-wide association study (GWAS) data and changes (Δ) in Positive And Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) scores from two 6-week randomized, placebo-controlled trials of lurasidone in schizophrenia (SCZ) patients. We also included SCZ risk SNPs identified by the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium using a polygenic risk analysis...
April 18, 2017: Schizophrenia Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431566/the-prognostic-value-of-the-preoperative-c-reactive-protein-albumin-ratio-in-ovarian-cancer
#8
Yubo Liu, Shengfu Chen, Chengyu Zheng, Miao Ding, Lan Zhang, Liangan Wang, Meiqing Xie, Jianhua Zhou
BACKGROUND: Inflammation plays an important role in the pathogenesis of ovarian cancer. This study sought to investigate the association between the preoperative c-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CRP/Alb) and oncological outcomes in ovarian cancer patients. METHODS: Two hundred patients with histologically verified ovarian cancer between June 2006 and July 2012 were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival was evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test...
April 21, 2017: BMC Cancer
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431530/are-there-too-many-screw-holes-in-plates-for-fracture-fixation
#9
Hongzhi Lv, Wenli Chang, Peizhi Yuwen, Na Yang, Xiaoli Yan, Yingze Zhang
BACKGROUND: Implant breakage after the fixation of traumatic fractures is rare; however, when it occurs, it is debilitating for the patients and a challenge for surgeons. The purpose of this study was to analyze and identify the independent risk factors for implant breakage of traumatic fractures treated with plate osteosynthesis. METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of patients with a fracture to any part of their four extremities, clavicle, hand or foot, who underwent surgical plate osteosynthesis from January 2005 to January 2015, and who sustained a subsequent implant breakage...
April 21, 2017: BMC Surgery
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431388/retention-and-transport-of-graphene-oxide-in-water-saturated-limestone-media
#10
Shunan Dong, Yuanyuan Sun, Bin Gao, Xiaoqing Shi, Hongxia Xu, Jianfeng Wu, Jichun Wu
In this work, column experiments were conducted to investigate the transport characteristics of graphene oxide (GO) nanoparticles in limestone media under various electrolytes, solution pH, and humic acid (HA) concentration conditions. In the limestone media, GO exhibited relatively low mobility with the mass recovery rate lower than 65.2%, even when solution ionic strength was low. The presence of HA enhanced its mobility. In addition, the presence of S(2-), a divalent anion, also promoted GO transport in limestone media compared to Cl(-) under similar ionic strength conditions through neutralizing more positive charge and thus diminishing the cation bridging...
April 17, 2017: Chemosphere
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431270/clinicians-conflicting-emotional-responses-to-high-suicide-risk-patients-association-with-short-term-suicide-behaviors-a-prospective-pilot-study
#11
Zimri S Yaseen, Igor I Galynker, Lisa J Cohen, Jessica Briggs
BACKGROUND: Clinician's emotional responses to patients have been recognized as potentially relating to treatment outcome, however they have received little attention in the literature on suicide risk. We examine the relationship between a novel targeted measure of clinicians' emotional responses to high-risk psychiatric inpatients and their short-term post-discharge suicide behavior. METHODS: First-year psychiatry residents' emotional responses to their patients were assessed anonymously with the novel self-report 'Therapist Response Questionnaire-Suicide Form' (TRQ-SF)...
April 6, 2017: Comprehensive Psychiatry
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28431190/higher-levels-of-submissive-behaviors-at-the-onset-of-the-pairing-process-of-rhesus-macaques-macaca-mulatta-are-associated-with-lower-risk-of-wounding-following-introduction
#12
Ori Pomerantz, Kate C Baker
Social housing of rhesus macaques (Macaca mulatta) is considered to be the cornerstone of behavioral management programs in biomedical facilities. However, it also involves the risk of socially inflicted trauma. The ability to avoid such trauma would contribute to the animals' well-being and alleviate staff's concerns, thus paving the path for more introductions. Here, we sought to address the conflict between the need to socially house rhesus macaques and the need to bring social wounding to a minimum by identifying behaviors expressed early in social introductions, that may serve as predictors of later wounding events...
April 21, 2017: American Journal of Primatology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430990/three-dimensional-dose-prediction-and-validation-with-the-radiobiological-gamma-index-based-on-a-relative-seriality-model-for-head-and-neck-imrt
#13
Noriaki Hamatani, Iori Sumida, Yutaka Takahashi, Michio Oda, Yuji Seo, Fumiaki Isohashi, Keisuke Tamari, Kazuhiko Ogawa
This study proposes a quality assurance (QA) method incorporating radiobiological factors based on the QUANTEC-determined tumor control probability and the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) of head-and-neck intensity-modulated radiation therapy (HN-IMRT). Per-beam measurements were conducted for 20 cases using a 2D detector array. Three-dimensional predicted dose distributions within targets and organs at risk were reconstructed based on the per-beam QA results derived from differences between planned and measured doses...
April 19, 2017: Journal of Radiation Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430913/prediction-of-adverse-events-after-catheter-based-procedures-in-adolescents-and-adults-with-congenital-heart-disease-in-the-impact-registry
#14
Ada C Stefanescu Schmidt, Aimee Armstrong, Kevin F Kennedy, David Nykanen, Jamil Aboulhosn, Ami B Bhatt
Aims: We sought to identify factors associated with major adverse events (MAE) after cardiac catheterization in adolescents and adults with congenital heart disease (CHD), and create the first model to individualize risk discussions in this growing population. Methods and results: Improving Pediatric and Adult Congenital Treatment (IMPACT), a National Cardiovascular Data Registry, contains congenital catheterization data from over 87 hospitals in the United States...
April 18, 2017: European Heart Journal
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430902/risk-for-hypertension-crosses-generations-in-the-community-a-multi-generational-cohort-study
#15
Teemu J Niiranen, Elizabeth L McCabe, Martin G Larson, Mir Henglin, Neal K Lakdawala, Ramachandran S Vasan, Susan Cheng
Aims: Parental hypertension is known to predict high blood pressure (BP) in children. However, the extent to which risk for hypertension is conferred across multiple generations, notwithstanding the impact of environmental factors, is unclear. Our objective was therefore to evaluate the degree to which risk for hypertension extends across multiple generations of individuals in the community. Methods and results: We studied three generations of Framingham Heart Study participants with standardized blood pressure measurements performed at serial examinations spanning 5 decades (1948 through 2005): First Generation (n = 1809), Second Generation (n = 2631), and Third Generation (n = 3608, mean age 39 years, 53% women)...
April 18, 2017: European Heart Journal
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430804/risk-stratification-for-venous-thromboembolism-in-patients-with-testicular-germ-cell-tumors
#16
Angelika Bezan, Florian Posch, Ferdinand Ploner, Thomas Bauernhofer, Martin Pichler, Joanna Szkandera, Georg C Hutterer, Karl Pummer, Thomas Gary, Hellmut Samonigg, Joerg Beyer, Thomas Winder, Thomas Hermanns, Christian D Fankhauser, Armin Gerger, Michael Stotz
BACKGROUND: Patients with testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT) have an increased risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). We identified risk factors for VTE in this patient cohort and developed a clinical risk model. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study at the Medical University of Graz we included 657 consecutive TGCT patients across all clinical stages. A predictive model for VTE was developed and externally validated in 349 TGCT patients treated at the University Hospital Zurich...
2017: PloS One
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430759/evaluation-of-guidelines-for-injured-children-at-high-risk-for-venous-thromboembolism-a-prospective-observational-study
#17
Rachel M Landisch, Sheila J Hanson, Laura D Cassidy, Kristin Braun, Rowena C Punzalan, David M Gourlay
BACKGROUND: Pharmacologic prophylaxis for venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a widely accepted practice in adult trauma patients to prevent associated morbidity and mortality. However, VTE prophylaxis has not been standardized in injured pediatric patients. Our institution identified factors potentially associated with a high risk of VTE in critically injured children that led to prospective implementation of VTE prophylaxis guidelines. We hypothesize that the guidelines are accurate in predicting children at risk for VTE...
May 2017: Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430657/microrna-signatures-predict-prognosis-of-patients-with-glioblastoma-multiforme-through-the-cancer-genome-atlas
#18
Ying Yuan, Hua Zhang, Xuexia Liu, Zhongming Lu, Guojun Li, Meixia Lu, Xiaofeng Tao
MicroRNAs (miRNAs) play major roles in various biological processes and have been implicated in the pathogenesis and malignant progression of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). The aim of this study was to assess the predictive values of miRNAs for overall survival (OS) of patients with GBM. MiRNA expression profiles and clinical information of 563 GBM patients were obtained from the Cancer Genome Atlas. The most significantly altered miRNAs were identified and miRNA expression profiles were performed, through principal component analysis, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method...
April 6, 2017: Oncotarget
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28430040/foraging-value-risk-avoidance-and-multiple-control-signals-how-the-acc-controls-value-based-decision-making
#19
Joshua W Brown, William H Alexander
Recent work on the role of the ACC in cognition has focused on choice difficulty, action value, risk avoidance, conflict resolution, and the value of exerting control among other factors. A main underlying question is what are the output signals of ACC, and relatedly, what is their effect on downstream cognitive processes? Here we propose a model of how ACC influences cognitive processing in other brain regions that choose actions. The model builds on the earlier Predicted Response Outcome model and suggests that ACC learns to represent specifically the states in which the potential costs or risks of an action are high, on both short and long timescales...
April 21, 2017: Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28429955/matrix-metalloproteinase-8-and-tissue-inhibitor-of-matrix-metalloproteinase-1-predict-incident-cardiovascular-disease-events-and-all-cause-mortality-in-a-population-based-cohort
#20
Immi Kormi, Mikko T Nieminen, Aki S Havulinna, Tanja Zeller, Stefan Blankenberg, Taina Tervahartiala, Timo Sorsa, Veikko Salomaa, Pirkko J Pussinen
Background Extracellular matrix degrading proteases and their regulators play an important role in atherogenesis and subsequent plaque rupture leading to acute cardiovascular manifestations. Design and methods In this prospective cohort study, we investigated the prognostic value of circulating matrix metalloproteinase-8, tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase-1 concentrations, the ratio of matrix metalloproteinase-8/ tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase-1 and, for comparison, myeloperoxidase and C-reactive protein concentrations for incident cardiovascular disease endpoints...
January 1, 2017: European Journal of Preventive Cardiology
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