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Risk Prediction model

Douglas B Sponsler, Reed M Johnson
The role of pesticides in recent honey bee losses is controversial, partly because field studies often fail to detect effects predicted by laboratory studies. This dissonance highlights a critical gap in the field of honey bee toxicology: there exists little mechanistic understanding of the patterns and processes of exposure that link honey bees to pesticides in their environment. We submit that 2 key processes underlie honey bee pesticide exposure: (1) the acquisition of pesticide by foraging bees and (2) the in-hive distribution of pesticide returned by foragers...
October 21, 2016: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
Samuele Zilioli, Ledina Imami, Richard B Slatcher
Social class is a robust predictor of health, with risk for disease and mortality increasing towards the lower end of the socioeconomic (SES) spectrum. While certain psychological characteristics, such as high sense of control, can protect low-SES individuals from adverse health outcomes, very few studies have investigated the biological mechanisms underlying these relationships. In this study, we tested whether sense of control mitigated the associations between SES and cortisol activity, and SES and physical health in daily life (i...
October 6, 2016: Psychoneuroendocrinology
Jochem Louisse, Karsten Beekmann, Ivonne Magdalena Catharina Maria Rietjens
The development of reliable non-animal based testing strategies, such as in vitro bioassays, is the holy grail in current human safety testing of chemicals. However, the use of in vitro toxicity data in risk assessment is not straightforward. One of the main issues is that concentration-response curves from in vitro models need to be converted to in vivo dose-response curves. These dose-response curves are needed in toxicological risk assessment to obtain a point of departure to determine safe exposure levels for humans...
October 21, 2016: Chemical Research in Toxicology
Jennifer Hennen, Brunhilde Blömeke
In vitro approaches address key steps of chemical-induced skin sensitization but there is uncertainty how keratinocytes, which play a crucial role not only regarding xenobiotic metabolism but also skin inflammation, impact on chemicals' potential and potency of dendritic cell activation. We investigated these aspects by coculturing THP-1 cells, as surrogate dendritic cells, with HaCaT keratinocytes. We tested our HaCaT/THP-1 model with a set of 14 sensitizers, containing 7 prohaptens, and 10 non-sensitizers...
October 21, 2016: ALTEX
Olivier Taboureau, Karine Audouze
During the past decades, many epidemiological, toxicological and biological studies have been performed to assess the role of environmental chemicals as potential toxicants for diverse human disorders. However, the relationships between diseases based on chemical exposure have been rarely studied by computational biology. We developed a human environmental disease network (EDN) to explore and suggest novel disease-disease and chemical-disease relationships. The presented scored EDN model is built upon the integration on systems biology and chemical toxicology using chemical contaminants information and their disease relationships from the reported TDDB database...
October 21, 2016: ALTEX
Shauna-Lee Chai, Jian Zhang, Amy Nixon, Scott Nielsen
Accounting for climate change in invasive species risk assessments improves our understanding of potential future impacts and enhances our preparedness for the arrival of new non-native species. We combined traditional risk assessment for invasive species with habitat suitability modeling to assess risk to biodiversity based on climate change. We demonstrate our method by assessing the risk for 15 potentially new invasive plant species to Alberta, Canada, an area where climate change is expected to facilitate the poleward expansion of invasive species ranges...
2016: PloS One
Te-Chih Wong, Hsiu-Yueh Su, Yu-Tong Chen, Pei-Yu Wu, Hsi-Hsien Chen, Tso-Hsiao Chen, Yung-Ho Hsu, Shwu-Huey Yang
Recent studies have indicated that the ratio of C-reactive protein to albumin (CRP-Alb ratio) is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with disease. We examined the predictive value of this ratio in patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD). In this cross-sectional study, 91 eligible adult HD patients were analyzed, and the correlation between the CRP-Alb ratio and skeletal muscle mass normalized for body weight (SMM/wt; estimated using a bioelectrical impedance analyzer) was investigated. The mean age of the study participants was 54...
2016: PloS One
Stefan Reuter, Stefanie Reiermann, Viola Malyar, Katharina Schütte-Nütgen, Renè Schmidt, Hermann Pavenstädt, Holger Reinecke, Barbara Suwelack
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death after renal transplantation with a high prevalence in dialysis patients. It is still a matter of debate how to assess the cardiovascular risk in kidney transplant candidates. Several approaches and scores exist and found their way into the guidelines. METHODS AND RESULTS: We herein assessed PROCAM, Framingham, ESC-SCORE and our own dedicated algorithm in patients applying for renal transplantation at our transplantation center between July 2006 and August 2009...
2016: PloS One
Nitin Chakravarti, Doina Ivan, Van A Trinh, Isabella C Glitza, Jonathan L Curry, Carlos Torres-Cabala, Michael T Tetzlaff, Roland L Bassett, Victor G Prieto, Wen-Jen Hwu
Ipilimumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody against cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen 4 (CTLA-4), is the first immune checkpoint inhibitor approved for the treatment of unresectable melanoma on the basis of its overall survival (OS) benefit. However, ipilimumab is associated with significant immune-related adverse events. We hypothesized that biomarker exploration of pretreatment tumor samples and correlation with clinical outcome would enable patient selection with an increased benefit/risk ratio for ipilimumab therapy...
October 20, 2016: Melanoma Research
Russell J Brooke, Mirjam Ee Kretzschmar, Volker Hackert, Christian Jpa Hoebe, Peter Fm Teunis, Lance A Waller
We develop a novel approach to study an outbreak of Q fever in 2009 in the Netherlands by combining a human dose-response model with geostatistics prediction to relate probability of infection and associated probability of illness to an effective dose of Coxiella burnetii. The spatial distribution of the 220 notified cases in the at-risk population are translated into a smooth spatial field of dose. Based on these symptomatic cases, the dose-response model predicts a median of 611 asymptomatic infections (95% range 410 to 1,084) for the 220 reported symptomatic cases in the at-risk population; 2...
October 19, 2016: Epidemiology
Katherine Amy Lin, Colin Rundel, P Murali Doraiswamy
BACKGROUND: Prior studies have noted gender differences in cognition, imaging, and pathological markers in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subjects. Sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), a major controlling factor in the proportion of bioavailable versus bound testosterone and estrogen, has been proposed to contribute to links between hormones and dementia, but has not yet been investigated fully in a prospective biomarker trial. OBJECTIVE: This study examined whether, among subjects with MCI, SHBG levels predict future rate of cognitive decline...
October 20, 2016: Journal of Alzheimer's Disease: JAD
Christoph Funk, Adrian Roth
Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a major concern for drug developers, regulators and clinicians. It is triggered by drug and xenobiotic insults leading to liver impairment or damage, in the worst-case liver failure. In contrast to acute "intrinsic" hepatotoxicity, DILI typically manifests in a very small subset of the population under treatment with no clear dose relationship and inconsistent temporal patterns and is therefore termed an idiosyncratic event. Involved are multifactorial, compound-dependent mechanisms and host-specific factors, making the prediction in preclinical test systems very challenging...
October 20, 2016: Archives of Toxicology
Kishan A Manani, Kim Christensen, Nicholas S Peters
Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of stroke by a factor of 4-5 and is the most common abnormal heart rhythm. The progression of AF with age, from short self-terminating episodes to persistence, varies between individuals and is poorly understood. An inability to understand and predict variation in AF progression has resulted in less patient-specific therapy. Likewise, it has been a challenge to relate the microstructural features of heart muscle tissue (myocardial architecture) with the emergent temporal clinical patterns of AF...
October 2016: Physical Review. E
Ingunn Holen, Diane V Lefley, Sheila E Francis, Sarah Rennicks, Steven Bradbury, Robert E Coleman, Penelope Ottewell
BACKGROUND: We have recently identified interleukin 1B (IL-1B) as a potential biomarker for predicting breast cancer patients at increased risk for developing bone metastasis. In mouse models, IL-1B and its receptor (IL-1R1) are upregulated in breast cancer cells that metastasise to bone compared with cells that do not. We have now investigated the functional role of IL-1 by blocking IL-1R signalling with the clinically licensed antagonist, anakinra. METHODOLOGY: 6-week old female BALB/c mice received a subcutaneous or intra-venous injection of MDA-MB-231-IV or MCF7 cells...
September 27, 2016: Oncotarget
Salvatore Santo Signorelli, Fiore Valerio, Castrogiovanni Davide, Gea Oliveri Conti, Fiore Maria, Morana Ignazio, Ferrante Margherita
Study on 295 consecutive medical patients to evaluate the potential of routine blood tests to identify the risk of deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The tests included in a DVT risk stratification model system were erythrocyte sedimentation rate, antithrombin III, C-reactive protein, D-dimer, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. The DVT risk stratification system was moderately prognostic (area under the curve: 0.838; 95% confidence interval: 0.771-0.904; P < .001), whereas its performance was as follows-sensitivity, 100%; specificity, 20%; positive predictive value, 21%; and negative predictive value, 100%...
October 20, 2016: Angiology
Aki S Havulinna, Marko Sysi-Aho, Mika Hilvo, Dimple Kauhanen, Reini Hurme, Kim Ekroos, Veikko Salomaa, Reijo Laaksonen
OBJECTIVE: Ceramides are molecular lipids implicated in apoptosis, inflammation, obesity, and insulin resistance. An earlier study reported that ceramides were associated with fatal outcome among patients with coronary heart disease. Here, we examined whether ceramides are associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) among apparently healthy individuals. APPROACH AND RESULTS: FINRISK 2002 is a population-based risk factor survey, which recruited men and women aged 25 to 74 years...
October 20, 2016: Arteriosclerosis, Thrombosis, and Vascular Biology
Evgenii Belykh, Alexander V Krutko, Evgenii S Baykov, Morgan B Giers, Mark C Preul, Vadim A Byvaltsev
BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Recurrence of lumbar disc herniation (rLDH) is one of the unfavorable outcomes after microdiscectomy. Prediction of the patient population with increased risk of rLDH is important because patients may benefit from preventive measures or other surgical options. PURPOSE: The study assessed preoperative factors associated with rLDH after microdiscectomy and created a mathematical model for estimation of chances for rLDH. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: This is a retrospective case-control study...
October 17, 2016: Spine Journal: Official Journal of the North American Spine Society
Magdalena Kotlicka-Antczak, Agnieszka Pawełczyk, Michał S Karbownik, Tomasz Pawełczyk, Dominik Strzelecki, Natalia Żurner, Małgorzata Urban-Kowalczyk
OBJECTIVE: Existing knowledge of the relationship between olfactory identification (OI) ability and clinical risk of psychosis is inconsistent. To address this inconsistency, the aim of the present study was to identify the relationship between OI ability, with regard to the hedonic attributes of odors, and the risk of transition to psychosis in individuals with an ARMS. METHODS: A group of 81 individuals meeting the ARMS criteria according to the Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental State were at baseline administered with the University of Pennsylvania Smell Identification Test...
October 17, 2016: Schizophrenia Research
Hye-Young Jung, Sangseob Leem, Sungyoung Lee, Taesung Park
BACKGROUND: Gene-gene interaction (GGI) is one of the most popular approaches for finding the missing heritability of common complex traits in genetic association studies. The multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR) method has been widely studied for detecting GGIs. In order to identify the best interaction model associated with disease susceptibility, MDR compares all possible genotype combinations in terms of their predictability of disease status from a simple binary high(H) and low(L) risk classification...
September 29, 2016: Computational Biology and Chemistry
Mathew R Reynolds, Jonathan C Hong
No abstract text is available yet for this article.
October 25, 2016: Journal of the American College of Cardiology
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