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https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28735343/exact-probabilities-for-the-indeterminacy-of-complex-networks-as-perceived-through-press-perturbations
#1
David Koslicki, Mark Novak
We consider the goal of predicting how complex networks respond to chronic (press) perturbations when characterizations of their network topology and interaction strengths are associated with uncertainty. Our primary result is the derivation of exact formulas for the expected number and probability of qualitatively incorrect predictions about a system's responses under uncertainties drawn form arbitrary distributions of error. Additional indices provide new tools for identifying which links in a network are most qualitatively and quantitatively sensitive to error, and for determining the volume of errors within which predictions will remain qualitatively determinate (i...
July 22, 2017: Journal of Mathematical Biology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28735337/thresholds-of-toxicological-concern-setting-a-threshold-for-testing-below-which-there-is-little-concern
#2
Thomas Hartung
Low dose, low risk; very low dose, no real risk. Setting a pragmatic threshold below which concerns become negligible is the purpose of thresholds of toxicological concern (TTC). The idea is that such threshold values do not need to be established for each and every chemical based on experimental data, but that by analyzing the distribution of lowest or no-effect doses of many chemicals, a TTC can be defined - typically using the 5th percentile of this distribution and lowering it by an uncertainty factor of, e...
2017: ALTEX
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28735210/moisture-content-prediction-in-poultry-litter-using-artificial-intelligence-techniques-and-monte-carlo-simulation-to-determine-the-economic-yield-from-energy-use
#3
José Octavio Rico-Contreras, Alberto Alfonso Aguilar-Lasserre, Juan Manuel Méndez-Contreras, Jhony Josué López-Andrés, Gabriela Cid-Chama
The objective of this study is to determine the economic return of poultry litter combustion in boilers to produce bioenergy (thermal and electrical), as this biomass has a high-energy potential due to its component elements, using fuzzy logic to predict moisture and identify the high-impact variables. This is carried out using a proposed 7-stage methodology, which includes a statistical analysis of agricultural systems and practices to identify activities contributing to moisture in poultry litter (for example, broiler chicken management, number of air extractors, and avian population density), and thereby reduce moisture to increase the yield of the combustion process...
July 20, 2017: Journal of Environmental Management
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28735110/blinded-sample-size-recalculation-in-clinical-trials-incorporating-historical-data
#4
Katharina Hees, Meinhard Kieser
Recruiting sufficient patients within an acceptable time horizon is an issue for most clinical trials and is especially challenging in the field of rare diseases. It is therefore an attractive option to include historical data from previous (pilot) trials in the current study thus reducing the recruitment burden. In clinical trials with binary endpoint, the required sample size does not only depend on the type I error rate, the power, and the treatment group difference but additionally on the overall event rate...
July 19, 2017: Contemporary Clinical Trials
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28734880/dual-versus-single-antiplatelet-regimen-with-or-without-anticoagulation-in-transcatheter-aortic-valve-replacement-indirect-comparison-and-meta-analysis
#5
Monica Verdoia, Lucia Barbieri, Matteo Nardin, Harry Suryapranata, Giuseppe De Luca
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: There is uncertainty on the correct management of antithrombotic therapies after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) being currently recommended on an empirical basis. The aim of the present meta-analysis was to assess the safety and effectiveness of DAPT in patients undergoing TAVR. METHODS: Studies comparing different antithrombotic regimens after TAVR were included. The primary endpoint was 30-day overall mortality...
July 19, 2017: Revista Española de Cardiología
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28734670/population-health-and-regional-variations-of-disease-burden-in-japan-1990-2015-a-systematic-subnational-analysis-for-the-global-burden-of-disease-study-2015
#6
Shuhei Nomura, Haruka Sakamoto, Scott Glenn, Yusuke Tsugawa, Sarah K Abe, Md M Rahman, Jonathan C Brown, Satoshi Ezoe, Christina Fitzmaurice, Tsuyoshi Inokuchi, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Norito Kawakami, Yosuke Kita, Naoki Kondo, Stephen S Lim, Satoshi Maruyama, Hiroaki Miyata, Meghan D Mooney, Mohsen Naghavi, Tomoko Onoda, Erika Ota, Yuji Otake, Gregory A Roth, Eiko Saito, Takahiro Tabuchi, Yohsuke Takasaki, Tadayuki Tanimura, Manami Uechi, Theo Vos, Haidong Wang, Manami Inoue, Christopher J L Murray, Kenji Shibuya
BACKGROUND: Japan has entered the era of super-ageing and advanced health transition, which is increasingly putting pressure on the sustainability of its health system. The level and pace of this health transition might vary across regions within Japan and concern is growing about increasing regional variations in disease burden. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015) provides a comprehensive, comparable framework. We used data from GBD 2015 with the aim to quantify the burden of disease and injuries, and to attribute risk factors in Japan at a subnational, prefecture-level...
July 19, 2017: Lancet
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28734252/river-sequesters-atmospheric-carbon-and-limits-the-co2-degassing-in-karst-area-southwest-china
#7
Tao Zhang, Jianhong Li, Junbing Pu, Jonathan B Martin, Mitra B Khadka, Feihong Wu, Li Li, Feng Jiang, Siyu Huang, Daoxian Yuan
CO2 fluxes across water-air interfaces of river systems play important roles in regulating the regional and global carbon cycle. However, great uncertainty remains as to the contribution of these inland water bodies to the global carbon budget. Part of the uncertainty stems from limited understanding of the CO2 fluxes at diurnal and seasonal frequencies caused by aquatic metabolism. Here, we measured surface water characteristics (temperature, pH, and DO, DIC, Ca(2+) concentrations) and CO2 fluxes across the air-water interface at two transects of Guijiang River, southwest China to assess the seasonal and diurnal dynamics of fluvial carbon cycling and its potential role in regional and global carbon budgets...
July 19, 2017: Science of the Total Environment
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28734222/species-sensitivity-distribution-for-pentachlorophenol-to-aquatic-organisms-based-on-interval-ecotoxicological-data
#8
Jinsong Zhao, Run Zhang
Species sensitivity distribution (SSD) model is often used to extrapolate the chemicals' effects from the ecotoxicological data on individual species to ecosystems, and is widely applied to derive water quality criteria or to assess ecological risk. Because of the influence of various factors, the ecotoxicological data of a specific chemicals to an individual usually exist in a range. The feasibility of interval ecotoxicological data directly applied to build SSD model has not been clearly stated. In the present study, by means of Bayesian statistics, the half maximal effective concentration (EC50) of pentachlorophenol (PCP) to 161 aquatic organisms, which were organized into 7 groups, i...
July 19, 2017: Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28734118/the-perniciousness-of-perfectionism-a-meta-analytic-review-of-the-perfectionism-suicide-relationship
#9
Martin M Smith, Simon B Sherry, Samantha Chen, Donald H Saklofske, Christopher Mushquash, Gordon L Flett, Paul L Hewitt
Over 50 years of research implicates perfectionism in suicide. Yet the role of perfectionism in suicide needs clarification due to notable between-study inconsistencies in findings, underpowered studies, and uncertainty whether perfectionism confers risk for suicide. OBJECTIVE: We addressed this by meta-analyzing perfectionism's relationship with suicide ideation and attempts. We also tested whether self-oriented, other-oriented, and socially prescribed perfectionism predicted increased suicide ideation, beyond baseline ideation...
July 22, 2017: Journal of Personality
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28734092/disentangling-the-role-of-seed-bank-and-dispersal-in-plant-metapopulation-dynamics-using-patch-occupancy-surveys
#10
F Manna, R Pradel, R Choquet, H Fréville, P-O Cheptou
In plants, the presence of a seed bank challenges the application of classical metapopulation models to above-ground presence surveys; ignoring seed bank leads to overestimated extinction and colonization rates. In this article, we explore the possibility to detect seed bank using hidden Markov models in the analysis of above-ground patch occupancy surveys of an annual plant with limited dispersal. Patch occupancy data were generated by simulation under two metapopulation sizes (N = 200 and N = 1000 patches) and different metapopulation scenarios, each scenario being a combination of the presence/absence of a one-year seed bank and the presence/absence of limited dispersal in a circular 1-dimension configuration of patches...
July 22, 2017: Ecology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28733474/persons-with-chronic-widespread-pain-experience-excess-mortality-longitudinal-results-from-uk-biobank-and-meta-analysis
#11
Gary J Macfarlane, Maxwell S Barnish, Gareth T Jones
OBJECTIVE: It is uncertain whether persons with chronic widespread pain (CWP) experience premature mortality. Using the largest study conducted, we determine whether such a relationship exists, estimate its magnitude and establish what factors mediate any relationship. METHODS: UK Biobank, a cohort study of 0.5 million people aged 40-69 years, recruited throughout Great Britain in 2006-2010. Participants reporting 'pain all over the body' for >3 months were compared with persons without chronic pain...
July 21, 2017: Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28733434/added-value-of-patient-reported-outcome-measures-in-stroke-clinical-practice
#12
Irene L Katzan, Nicolas R Thompson, Brittany Lapin, Ken Uchino
BACKGROUND: There is uncertainty regarding the clinical utility of the data obtained from patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for patient care. We evaluated the incremental information obtained by PROMs compared to the clinician-reported modified Rankin Scale (mRS). METHODS AND RESULTS: This was an observational study of 3283 ischemic stroke patients seen in a cerebrovascular clinic from September 14, 2012 to June 16, 2015 who completed the routinely collected PROMs: Stroke Impact Scale-16 (SIS-16), EQ-5D, Patient Health Questionnaire-9, PROMIS Physical Function, and PROMIS fatigue...
July 21, 2017: Journal of the American Heart Association
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28733049/the-time-course-of-attention-modulation-elicited-by-spatial-uncertainty
#13
Dan Huang, Huilou Liang, Linyan Xue, Meijian Wang, Qiyi Hu, Yao Chen
Uncertainty regarding the target location is an influential factor for spatial attention. Modulation in spatial uncertainty can lead to adjustments in attention scope and variations in attention effects. Hence, investigating spatial uncertainty modulation is important for understanding the underlying mechanism of spatial attention. However, the temporal dynamics of this modulation remains unclear. To evaluate the time course of spatial uncertainty modulation, we adopted a Posner-like attention orienting paradigm with central or peripheral cues...
July 18, 2017: Vision Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28732321/aggregating-exposures-cumulating-risk-for-semivolatile-organic-compounds-a-review
#14
REVIEW
Maud Pelletier, Nathalie Bonvallot, Philippe Glorennec
Increasingly, health risk assessment is addressing multiple pathway exposures to multiple contaminants. We reviewed aggregated exposure and cumulative risk approaches for contemporary and ubiquitous semivolatile organic compounds (SVOC). We identified 22 studies aggregating exposure pathways, and 31 cumulating risk. Exposure aggregation is based on the addition of pathway-specific doses, using kinetic modeling where it exists, and classic external dose equations otherwise. In most cases, exposure is dominated by a single route or source of exposure - mainly the oral pathway - via dietary or non-dietary exposure...
July 18, 2017: Environmental Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28732151/patients-attitudes-and-experiences-of-disease-modifying-anti-rheumatic-drugs-in-rheumatoid-arthritis-and-spondyloarthritis-a-qualitative-synthesis
#15
Ayano Kelly, Kathleen Tymms, David J Tunnicliffe, Daniel Sumpton, Chandima Perera, Kieran Fallon, Jonathan C Craig, Walter Abhayaratna, Allison Tong
OBJECTIVES: Non-adherence to disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDS) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and spondyloarthritis (SpA) results in increased disease activity and symptoms and poorer quality of life. We aimed to describe patients' attitudes and experiences of DMARDs in RA and SpA to inform strategies to improve medication adherence. METHODS: Databases (MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL) were searched to January 2016. Thematic synthesis was used to analyze the findings...
July 21, 2017: Arthritis Care & Research
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28732022/global-economic-trade-offs-between-wild-nature-and-tropical-agriculture
#16
Luis R Carrasco, Edward L Webb, William S Symes, Lian P Koh, Navjot S Sodhi
Global demands for agricultural and forestry products provide economic incentives for deforestation across the tropics. Much of this deforestation occurs with a lack of information on the spatial distribution of benefits and costs of deforestation. To inform global sustainable land-use policies, we combine geographic information systems (GIS) with a meta-analysis of ecosystem services (ES) studies to perform a spatially explicit analysis of the trade-offs between agricultural benefits, carbon emissions, and losses of multiple ecosystem services because of tropical deforestation from 2000 to 2012...
July 2017: PLoS Biology
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28731943/the-impact-of-polypharmacy-on-patient-outcomes-in-older-adults-with-cancer
#17
Ginah Nightingale, Emily Skonecki, Manpreet K Boparai
Polypharmacy is prevalent in older adults with cancer and may be advantageous for the management of certain chronic disease states, but uncertainty exists regarding potential hazards and consequences. Cancer-related therapy adds to the prevalence of polypharmacy, which can lead to compromised cancer management plans (i.e., postoperative complications, treatment delays, and/or premature treatment discontinuation). Polypharmacy has been identified as one of the domains commonly included in the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment likely because of the potential influence on health outcomes...
July 2017: Cancer Journal
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28731647/nothing-is-certain-a-comment-on-uncertainty-objectivity-and-scientism
#18
Carlos G Musso, Ricardo La Valle
No abstract text is available yet for this article.
August 1, 2017: Archivos Argentinos de Pediatría
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28731409/assessment-of-the-probability-of-autochthonous-transmission-of-chikungunya-virus-in-canada-under-recent-and-projected-climate-change
#19
Victoria Ng, Aamir Fazil, Philippe Gachon, Guillaume Deuymes, Milka Radojević, Mariola Mascarenhas, Sophiya Garasia, Michael A Johansson, Nicholas H Ogden
BACKGROUND: Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is a reemerging pathogen transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. The ongoing Caribbean outbreak is of concern due to the potential for infected travelers to spread the virus to countries where vectors are present and the population is susceptible. Although there has been no autochthonous transmission of CHIKV in Canada, there is concern that both Ae. albopictus and CHIKV will become established, particularly under projected climate change...
June 5, 2017: Environmental Health Perspectives
https://www.readbyqxmd.com/read/28731349/improved-metrological-traceability-of-particle-size-values-measured-with-line-start-incremental-centrifugal-liquid-sedimentation
#20
Vikram Kestens, Victoria A Coleman, Pieter-Jan De Temmerman, Caterina Minelli, Holger Woehlecke, Gert Roebben
Line-start incremental centrifugal liquid sedimentation (disc-CLS) is a powerful method to determine particle size. It is based on Stokes' law and on the measurement of particle sedimentation rate through a liquid with a density gradient. Because several of the input quantities of the Stokes' equation cannot be easily determined for this case of a rotating disc, the usual disc-CLS approach relies on calibrating the sedimentation time scale with commercially available PVC reference particles. To use these calibrant particles for establishing metrological traceability, they must fulfil the same requirements as those imposed on a certified reference material, i...
July 21, 2017: Langmuir: the ACS Journal of Surfaces and Colloids
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